Premier League·Regular Season - 10·
Premier League·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.852.80safe0.00–1.920.99–2.700.98–4.62safer0.00–2.170.77–2.930.50–5.10
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.595.709.29safe1.73–5.453.96–7.445.69–12.90safer1.24–5.943.49–7.914.73–13.85
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5914.9026.49safe7.66–15.5111.34–18.4719.00–33.98safer6.57–16.6010.38–19.4316.95–36.03
Shots in box
19%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2710.3617.63safe4.32–10.217.68–13.0412.01–23.25safer3.49–11.046.95–13.7810.44–24.82
Blocked shots
27%
13%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.294.467.75safe1.41–5.172.80–6.114.21–11.28safer0.87–5.722.31–6.603.18–12.32
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.915.829.73safe1.70–6.133.82–7.825.52–13.95safer1.12–6.703.29–8.364.41–15.06
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction33.0568.01safe26.26–39.8461.22–74.79safer24.59–41.5159.55–76.46
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction302628930safe235–369562–695797–1064safer217–387544–712761–1100
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction64.1583.80safe60.12–68.1879.48–88.12safer58.82–69.4778.17–89.43
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7610.1422.90safe9.93–15.607.19–13.0817.12–28.68safer9.17–16.366.44–13.8315.61–30.19
Offsides
57%
18%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.771.854.62safe1.61–3.930.76–2.942.36–6.87safer1.31–4.230.47–3.231.78–7.46
Yellow cards
48%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.794.02safe1.18–3.280.66–2.911.84–6.20safer0.92–3.550.37–3.211.28–6.75
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.452.606.05safe2.01–4.891.04–4.153.05–9.04safer1.63–5.270.62–4.582.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.85 0.99–2.70 0.77–2.93 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 19% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.59 1.73–5.45 1.24–5.94 | 5.70 3.96–7.44 3.49–7.91 | 9.29 5.69–12.90 4.73–13.85 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.59 7.66–15.51 6.57–16.60 | 14.90 11.34–18.47 10.38–19.43 | 26.49 19.00–33.98 16.95–36.03 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 7.27 4.32–10.21 3.49–11.04 | 10.36 7.68–13.04 6.95–13.78 | 17.63 12.01–23.25 10.44–24.82 | 19% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.41–5.17 0.87–5.72 | 4.46 2.80–6.11 2.31–6.60 | 7.75 4.21–11.28 3.18–12.32 | 27% 13% 59% |
| Corners | 3.91 1.70–6.13 1.12–6.70 | 5.82 3.82–7.82 3.29–8.36 | 9.73 5.52–13.95 4.41–15.06 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 33.05 26.26–39.84 24.59–41.51 | 68.01 61.22–74.79 59.55–76.46 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 302 235–369 217–387 | 628 562–695 544–712 | 930 797–1064 761–1100 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.15 60.12–68.18 58.82–69.47 | 83.80 79.48–88.12 78.17–89.43 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 12.76 9.93–15.60 9.17–16.36 | 10.14 7.19–13.08 6.44–13.83 | 22.90 17.12–28.68 15.61–30.19 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 2.77 1.61–3.93 1.31–4.23 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 4.62 2.36–6.87 1.78–7.46 | 57% 18% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.92–3.55 | 1.79 0.66–2.91 0.37–3.21 | 4.02 1.84–6.20 1.28–6.75 | 48% 20% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.45 2.01–4.89 1.63–5.27 | 2.60 1.04–4.15 0.62–4.58 | 6.05 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+