Premier League·Regular Season - 21·
Premier League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.320.763.09safe1.36–3.290.00–1.621.27–4.91safer1.10–3.540.00–1.850.79–5.39
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.343.509.84safe4.47–8.201.76–5.246.23–13.44safer3.98–8.691.29–5.715.28–14.40
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.078.8926.96safe14.14–21.995.33–12.4619.47–34.45safer13.05–23.084.37–13.4217.42–36.50
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.366.5717.93safe8.42–14.313.89–9.2512.31–23.56safer7.59–15.143.15–9.9910.74–25.12
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.612.146.75safe2.73–6.490.49–3.793.21–10.28safer2.18–7.030.00–4.292.18–11.32
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.923.3110.23safe4.71–9.131.31–5.316.02–14.45safer4.13–9.710.78–5.854.91–15.55
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.8731.79safe61.08–74.6625.00–38.57safer59.41–76.3323.33–40.24
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction659304963safe591–726238–370829–1096safer573–744220–388793–1132
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction81.3568.51safe77.32–85.3864.19–72.83safer76.02–86.6762.88–74.14
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0012.5722.57safe7.17–12.849.62–15.5116.79–28.35safer6.41–13.608.87–16.2615.28–29.86
Offsides
23%
17%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.794.55safe0.60–2.931.70–3.882.30–6.81safer0.30–3.231.41–4.171.71–7.40
Yellow cards
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.202.153.35safe0.15–2.251.02–3.281.18–5.53safer0.00–2.520.73–3.570.62–6.09
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.353.846.19safe0.91–3.792.28–5.403.20–9.18safer0.53–4.171.86–5.822.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.32 1.36–3.29 1.10–3.54 | 0.76 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.34 4.47–8.20 3.98–8.69 | 3.50 1.76–5.24 1.29–5.71 | 9.84 6.23–13.44 5.28–14.40 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 18.07 14.14–21.99 13.05–23.08 | 8.89 5.33–12.46 4.37–13.42 | 26.96 19.47–34.45 17.42–36.50 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.36 8.42–14.31 7.59–15.14 | 6.57 3.89–9.25 3.15–9.99 | 17.93 12.31–23.56 10.74–25.12 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 2.14 0.49–3.79 0.00–4.29 | 6.75 3.21–10.28 2.18–11.32 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.92 4.71–9.13 4.13–9.71 | 3.31 1.31–5.31 0.78–5.85 | 10.23 6.02–14.45 4.91–15.55 | 84% |
| Possession % | 67.87 61.08–74.66 59.41–76.33 | 31.79 25.00–38.57 23.33–40.24 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 659 591–726 573–744 | 304 238–370 220–388 | 963 829–1096 793–1132 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.35 77.32–85.38 76.02–86.67 | 68.51 64.19–72.83 62.88–74.14 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.00 7.17–12.84 6.41–13.60 | 12.57 9.62–15.51 8.87–16.26 | 22.57 16.79–28.35 15.28–29.86 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.60–2.93 0.30–3.23 | 2.79 1.70–3.88 1.41–4.17 | 4.55 2.30–6.81 1.71–7.40 | 23% 17% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.20 0.15–2.25 0.00–2.52 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.35 1.18–5.53 0.62–6.09 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.79 0.53–4.17 | 3.84 2.28–5.40 1.86–5.82 | 6.19 3.20–9.18 2.39–10.00 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+