Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.392.56safe0.20–2.140.54–2.240.74–4.38safer0.00–2.390.31–2.470.26–4.86
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.744.318.05safe1.88–5.602.57–6.064.45–11.66safer1.39–6.092.11–6.523.49–12.61
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9512.6624.62safe8.03–15.889.10–16.2317.13–32.10safer6.94–16.978.14–17.1915.08–34.15
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.408.8017.19safe5.45–11.346.11–11.4811.57–22.81safer4.62–12.175.38–12.2110.00–24.38
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.573.977.54safe1.69–5.452.32–5.634.01–11.08safer1.14–5.991.83–6.122.97–12.11
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.805.4110.21safe2.59–7.023.41–7.416.00–14.42safer2.02–7.592.87–7.944.89–15.53
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.5159.08safe35.72–49.3052.30–65.87safer34.05–50.9750.63–67.54
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction351482833safe284–419415–548700–967safer266–437398–566664–1003
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction63.1973.18safe59.16–67.2268.86–77.50safer57.87–68.5167.55–78.81
Fouls
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5510.0721.62safe8.71–14.397.12–13.0115.84–27.40safer7.96–15.156.38–13.7614.33–28.91
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.103.95safe0.69–3.011.00–3.191.69–6.20safer0.39–3.310.72–3.481.11–6.79
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.743.80safe1.01–3.110.61–2.871.62–5.98safer0.75–3.380.32–3.161.07–6.54
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
43%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.802.685.48safe1.36–4.241.12–4.232.48–8.47safer0.98–4.620.70–4.661.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.39 0.54–2.24 0.31–2.47 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.88–5.60 1.39–6.09 | 4.31 2.57–6.06 2.11–6.52 | 8.05 4.45–11.66 3.49–12.61 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 11.95 8.03–15.88 6.94–16.97 | 12.66 9.10–16.23 8.14–17.19 | 24.62 17.13–32.10 15.08–34.15 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.40 5.45–11.34 4.62–12.17 | 8.80 6.11–11.48 5.38–12.21 | 17.19 11.57–22.81 10.00–24.38 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.69–5.45 1.14–5.99 | 3.97 2.32–5.63 1.83–6.12 | 7.54 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.11 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.59–7.02 2.02–7.59 | 5.41 3.41–7.41 2.87–7.94 | 10.21 6.00–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 42.51 35.72–49.30 34.05–50.97 | 59.08 52.30–65.87 50.63–67.54 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 351 284–419 266–437 | 482 415–548 398–566 | 833 700–967 664–1003 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.19 59.16–67.22 57.87–68.51 | 73.18 68.86–77.50 67.55–78.81 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.71–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 10.07 7.12–13.01 6.38–13.76 | 21.62 15.84–27.40 14.33–28.91 | 58% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 2.10 1.00–3.19 0.72–3.48 | 3.95 1.69–6.20 1.11–6.79 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.75–3.38 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.36–4.24 0.98–4.62 | 2.68 1.12–4.23 0.70–4.66 | 5.48 2.48–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 43% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.