Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.460.982.44safe0.49–2.430.13–1.840.62–4.27safer0.24–2.680.00–2.060.14–4.75
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.883.508.38safe3.02–6.741.76–5.244.77–11.98safer2.53–7.231.29–5.713.82–12.94
Total shots
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2310.5825.80safe11.30–19.157.01–14.1418.31–33.29safer10.21–20.246.05–15.1016.26–35.34
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.756.8616.60safe6.81–12.694.18–9.5410.98–22.23safer5.98–13.523.44–10.279.41–23.79
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.343.187.52safe2.46–6.231.52–4.833.99–11.06safer1.92–6.771.03–5.322.95–12.09
Corners
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.9410.22safe4.06–8.491.94–5.946.00–14.43safer3.49–9.061.41–6.484.90–15.54
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction59.4739.18safe52.68–66.2632.39–45.96safer51.01–67.9330.72–47.63
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction529325854safe462–596259–392721–988safer444–614241–409685–1024
Pass accuracy %
71%
24%
homeawayprediction71.3766.47safe67.34–75.4062.14–70.79safer66.04–76.6960.83–72.10
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6412.1921.83safe6.81–12.489.24–15.1316.05–27.61safer6.05–13.248.50–15.8814.54–29.12
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.903.87safe0.82–3.140.80–2.991.62–6.13safer0.51–3.440.51–3.281.03–6.72
Yellow cards
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.242.183.42safe0.19–2.291.05–3.311.24–5.60safer0.00–2.550.76–3.600.69–6.16
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.345.80safe1.02–3.891.79–4.902.81–8.79safer0.63–4.281.36–5.321.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 0.98 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.06 | 2.44 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.75 | 48% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 3.50 1.76–5.24 1.29–5.71 | 8.38 4.77–11.98 3.82–12.94 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.23 11.30–19.15 10.21–20.24 | 10.58 7.01–14.14 6.05–15.10 | 25.80 18.31–33.29 16.26–35.34 | 79% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.75 6.81–12.69 5.98–13.52 | 6.86 4.18–9.54 3.44–10.27 | 16.60 10.98–22.23 9.41–23.79 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 3.18 1.52–4.83 1.03–5.32 | 7.52 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 6.27 4.06–8.49 3.49–9.06 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.41–6.48 | 10.22 6.00–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 72% 19% |
| Possession % | 59.47 52.68–66.26 51.01–67.93 | 39.18 32.39–45.96 30.72–47.63 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 529 462–596 444–614 | 325 259–392 241–409 | 854 721–988 685–1024 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.37 67.34–75.40 66.04–76.69 | 66.47 62.14–70.79 60.83–72.10 | — | 71% 24% |
| Fouls | 9.64 6.81–12.48 6.05–13.24 | 12.19 9.24–15.13 8.50–15.88 | 21.83 16.05–27.61 14.54–29.12 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.51–3.44 | 1.90 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.28 | 3.87 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.24 0.19–2.29 0.00–2.55 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 3.34 1.79–4.90 1.36–5.32 | 5.80 2.81–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.