Premier League·Regular Season - 30·
Premier League·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.230.732.96safe1.26–3.200.00–1.581.14–4.78safer1.01–3.450.00–1.810.66–5.26
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.012.898.91safe4.15–7.881.15–4.645.30–12.51safer3.66–8.370.69–5.104.35–13.47
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.788.9826.76safe13.86–21.715.42–12.5419.27–34.25safer12.77–22.804.46–13.5017.22–36.30
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.906.0017.89safe8.96–14.843.31–8.6812.27–23.52safer8.13–15.672.58–9.4110.70–25.08
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.262.918.17safe3.38–7.141.26–4.564.63–11.71safer2.83–7.680.77–5.063.60–12.74
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.023.2610.28safe4.80–9.231.26–5.266.06–14.49safer4.23–9.800.73–5.794.96–15.60
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.4737.32safe55.68–69.2630.53–44.10safer54.01–70.9328.86–45.77
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction561319880safe493–628253–386746–1014safer475–646235–403710–1049
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction77.1868.02safe73.15–81.2163.69–72.34safer71.86–82.5062.38–73.65
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1313.2624.40safe8.30–13.9710.32–16.2118.61–30.18safer7.54–14.739.57–16.9617.11–31.68
Offsides
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.252.66safe0.25–2.570.15–2.340.40–4.91safer0.00–2.870.00–2.630.00–5.50
Yellow cards
17%
18%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.222.493.71safe0.17–2.271.36–3.621.53–5.88safer0.00–2.531.07–3.910.97–6.44
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.695.91safe0.78–3.662.13–5.242.91–8.90safer0.40–4.041.70–5.672.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.26–3.20 1.01–3.45 | 0.73 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 72% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.88 3.66–8.37 | 2.89 1.15–4.64 0.69–5.10 | 8.91 5.30–12.51 4.35–13.47 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.78 13.86–21.71 12.77–22.80 | 8.98 5.42–12.54 4.46–13.50 | 26.76 19.27–34.25 17.22–36.30 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.90 8.96–14.84 8.13–15.67 | 6.00 3.31–8.68 2.58–9.41 | 17.89 12.27–23.52 10.70–25.08 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.26 3.38–7.14 2.83–7.68 | 2.91 1.26–4.56 0.77–5.06 | 8.17 4.63–11.71 3.60–12.74 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 7.02 4.80–9.23 4.23–9.80 | 3.26 1.26–5.26 0.73–5.79 | 10.28 6.06–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 85% |
| Possession % | 62.47 55.68–69.26 54.01–70.93 | 37.32 30.53–44.10 28.86–45.77 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 561 493–628 475–646 | 319 253–386 235–403 | 880 746–1014 710–1049 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.18 73.15–81.21 71.86–82.50 | 68.02 63.69–72.34 62.38–73.65 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.13 8.30–13.97 7.54–14.73 | 13.26 10.32–16.21 9.57–16.96 | 24.40 18.61–30.18 17.11–31.68 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.25 0.15–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 2.66 0.40–4.91 0.00–5.50 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.17–2.27 0.00–2.53 | 2.49 1.36–3.62 1.07–3.91 | 3.71 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 17% 18% 65% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.78–3.66 0.40–4.04 | 3.69 2.13–5.24 1.70–5.67 | 5.91 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.