Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.110.943.05safe1.14–3.080.09–1.801.23–4.87safer0.89–3.330.00–2.030.75–5.35
Shots on target
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.509.75safe4.38–8.111.76–5.246.14–13.35safer3.89–8.601.29–5.715.19–14.31
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.979.7227.69safe14.04–21.896.16–13.2920.20–35.18safer12.95–22.985.20–14.2518.15–37.23
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction12.286.9119.19safe9.34–15.224.23–9.5913.57–24.82safer8.51–16.053.49–10.3312.00–26.38
Blocked shots
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.172.657.82safe3.29–7.051.00–4.314.29–11.36safer2.74–7.600.51–4.803.25–12.39
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.983.8710.85safe4.76–9.191.87–5.876.64–15.06safer4.19–9.761.34–6.415.53–16.17
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction62.7235.82safe55.93–69.5129.04–42.61safer54.26–71.1827.37–44.28
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction577329905safe509–644262–395772–1039safer491–662245–413736–1075
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction78.5567.06safe74.52–82.5862.73–71.38safer73.23–83.8861.43–72.69
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9310.2321.16safe8.10–13.777.28–13.1715.38–26.94safer7.34–14.536.53–13.9213.88–28.45
Offsides
48%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.784.01safe1.07–3.390.69–2.871.76–6.26safer0.77–3.690.40–3.161.17–6.85
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.793.23safe0.39–2.490.66–2.921.05–5.41safer0.12–2.750.37–3.210.50–5.97
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.233.695.92safe0.79–3.662.14–5.252.93–8.91safer0.40–4.051.71–5.672.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.14–3.08 0.89–3.33 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.25 4.38–8.11 3.89–8.60 | 3.50 1.76–5.24 1.29–5.71 | 9.75 6.14–13.35 5.19–14.31 | 77% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.97 14.04–21.89 12.95–22.98 | 9.72 6.16–13.29 5.20–14.25 | 27.69 20.20–35.18 18.15–37.23 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.28 9.34–15.22 8.51–16.05 | 6.91 4.23–9.59 3.49–10.33 | 19.19 13.57–24.82 12.00–26.38 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 5.17 3.29–7.05 2.74–7.60 | 2.65 1.00–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 7.82 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.39 | 77% 14% |
| Corners | 6.98 4.76–9.19 4.19–9.76 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.34–6.41 | 10.85 6.64–15.06 5.53–16.17 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 62.72 55.93–69.51 54.26–71.18 | 35.82 29.04–42.61 27.37–44.28 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 577 509–644 491–662 | 329 262–395 245–413 | 905 772–1039 736–1075 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.55 74.52–82.58 73.23–83.88 | 67.06 62.73–71.38 61.43–72.69 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.93 8.10–13.77 7.34–14.53 | 10.23 7.28–13.17 6.53–13.92 | 21.16 15.38–26.94 13.88–28.45 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.69 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 4.01 1.76–6.26 1.17–6.85 | 48% 20% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.12–2.75 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.50–5.97 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.69 2.14–5.25 1.71–5.67 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+