Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.562.82safe0.29–2.230.71–2.421.00–4.65safer0.04–2.480.48–2.650.52–5.13
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.025.119.12safe2.15–5.883.36–6.855.52–12.73safer1.66–6.372.90–7.314.56–13.68
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1914.1327.32safe9.27–17.1210.56–17.6919.83–34.81safer8.18–18.219.60–18.6517.78–36.86
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.239.7118.94safe6.29–12.177.03–12.3913.32–24.57safer5.46–13.006.29–13.1311.75–26.13
Blocked shots
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.064.328.39safe2.18–5.952.67–5.984.85–11.92safer1.64–6.492.18–6.473.82–12.96
Corners
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.075.4210.49safe2.86–7.283.42–7.426.28–14.71safer2.28–7.862.89–7.965.17–15.81
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.8960.03safe34.10–47.6853.24–66.81safer32.43–49.3551.57–68.48
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction363543905safe295–430476–609772–1039safer277–448459–627736–1075
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction65.8180.43safe61.78–69.8476.11–84.76safer60.49–71.1474.80–86.07
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6511.8823.54safe8.82–14.498.94–14.8317.75–29.32safer8.06–15.258.19–15.5716.25–30.82
Offsides
51%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.303.16safe0.71–3.030.20–2.390.91–5.42safer0.41–3.330.00–2.680.32–6.01
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.923.59safe0.63–2.730.79–3.051.42–5.77safer0.36–2.990.50–3.340.86–6.33
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
48%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.846.09safe1.81–4.681.29–4.403.10–9.08safer1.42–5.070.86–4.822.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.56 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.15–5.88 1.66–6.37 | 5.11 3.36–6.85 2.90–7.31 | 9.12 5.52–12.73 4.56–13.68 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.19 9.27–17.12 8.18–18.21 | 14.13 10.56–17.69 9.60–18.65 | 27.32 19.83–34.81 17.78–36.86 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 9.23 6.29–12.17 5.46–13.00 | 9.71 7.03–12.39 6.29–13.13 | 18.94 13.32–24.57 11.75–26.13 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 4.06 2.18–5.95 1.64–6.49 | 4.32 2.67–5.98 2.18–6.47 | 8.39 4.85–11.92 3.82–12.96 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.28 2.28–7.86 | 5.42 3.42–7.42 2.89–7.96 | 10.49 6.28–14.71 5.17–15.81 | 40% 48% |
| Possession % | 40.89 34.10–47.68 32.43–49.35 | 60.03 53.24–66.81 51.57–68.48 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 363 295–430 277–448 | 543 476–609 459–627 | 905 772–1039 736–1075 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.81 61.78–69.84 60.49–71.14 | 80.43 76.11–84.76 74.80–86.07 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.65 8.82–14.49 8.06–15.25 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.57 | 23.54 17.75–29.32 16.25–30.82 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.30 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.59 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 2.84 1.29–4.40 0.86–4.82 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.90 | 48% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.