Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.742.89safe0.18–2.120.89–2.601.07–4.71safer0.00–2.370.66–2.830.59–5.19
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.645.589.23safe1.78–5.513.84–7.335.62–12.83safer1.29–6.003.38–7.794.67–13.79
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4315.5026.93safe7.51–15.3611.94–19.0619.45–34.42safer6.42–16.4510.98–20.0217.40–36.47
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2510.6117.86safe4.31–10.197.93–13.2912.24–23.48safer3.48–11.027.19–14.0310.67–25.05
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.544.508.04safe1.65–5.422.85–6.154.50–11.57safer1.11–5.962.36–6.653.47–12.61
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.735.199.92safe2.52–6.943.19–7.195.71–14.13safer1.94–7.522.66–7.724.60–15.24
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction48.2153.47safe41.42–55.0046.69–60.26safer39.75–56.6745.02–61.93
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction471510981safe404–538444–577848–1115safer385–556427–594812–1151
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction71.3677.08safe67.33–75.3972.76–81.41safer66.04–76.6971.45–82.71
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9810.9020.88safe7.14–12.817.96–13.8515.10–26.66safer6.38–13.577.21–14.6013.59–28.17
Offsides
39%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.104.17safe0.91–3.231.01–3.191.92–6.43safer0.61–3.540.72–3.481.33–7.01
Yellow cards
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.653.23safe0.52–2.620.53–2.781.05–5.40safer0.26–2.890.23–3.070.49–5.96
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
57%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.525.99safe2.03–4.910.96–4.072.99–8.98safer1.65–5.290.53–4.502.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.74 0.89–2.60 0.66–2.83 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.64 1.78–5.51 1.29–6.00 | 5.58 3.84–7.33 3.38–7.79 | 9.23 5.62–12.83 4.67–13.79 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.43 7.51–15.36 6.42–16.45 | 15.50 11.94–19.06 10.98–20.02 | 26.93 19.45–34.42 17.40–36.47 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 7.25 4.31–10.19 3.48–11.02 | 10.61 7.93–13.29 7.19–14.03 | 17.86 12.24–23.48 10.67–25.05 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.65–5.42 1.11–5.96 | 4.50 2.85–6.15 2.36–6.65 | 8.04 4.50–11.57 3.47–12.61 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.52–6.94 1.94–7.52 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.66–7.72 | 9.92 5.71–14.13 4.60–15.24 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 48.21 41.42–55.00 39.75–56.67 | 53.47 46.69–60.26 45.02–61.93 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 471 404–538 385–556 | 510 444–577 427–594 | 981 848–1115 812–1151 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.36 67.33–75.39 66.04–76.69 | 77.08 72.76–81.41 71.45–82.71 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 9.98 7.14–12.81 6.38–13.57 | 10.90 7.96–13.85 7.21–14.60 | 20.88 15.10–26.66 13.59–28.17 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.54 | 2.10 1.01–3.19 0.72–3.48 | 4.17 1.92–6.43 1.33–7.01 | 39% 20% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.65 0.53–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 3.23 1.05–5.40 0.49–5.96 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.47 2.03–4.91 1.65–5.29 | 2.52 0.96–4.07 0.53–4.50 | 5.99 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 57% 16% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+