Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
25%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.592.67safe0.12–2.050.73–2.440.85–4.50safer0.00–2.310.50–2.670.37–4.97
Shots on target
32%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.924.828.75safe2.06–5.793.08–6.565.14–12.35safer1.57–6.282.61–7.034.19–13.31
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1313.4925.61safe8.20–16.059.92–17.0518.12–33.10safer7.11–17.148.96–18.0116.07–35.15
Shots in box
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.829.0017.82safe5.88–11.766.32–11.6812.20–23.44safer5.05–12.595.58–12.4210.63–25.01
Blocked shots
31%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.524.447.96safe1.64–5.412.78–6.094.43–11.50safer1.10–5.952.29–6.583.39–12.53
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.605.8410.44safe2.39–6.813.84–7.846.23–14.65safer1.81–7.393.31–8.375.12–15.76
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.5563.22safe30.76–44.3456.44–70.01safer29.09–46.0154.77–71.68
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction332566898safe265–399500–633765–1032safer247–418482–650729–1068
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction64.1176.06safe60.09–68.1471.73–80.38safer58.79–69.4470.42–81.69
Fouls
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction11.549.2820.82safe8.70–14.386.33–12.2215.04–26.60safer7.95–15.145.59–12.9713.53–28.11
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.903.42safe0.36–2.680.80–2.991.17–5.67safer0.06–2.980.51–3.280.58–6.26
Yellow cards
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.703.82safe1.07–3.160.57–2.831.64–5.99safer0.80–3.430.28–3.121.08–6.55
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.070.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.260.00–0.53safer0.00–0.430.00–0.390.00–0.82
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.715.80safe1.66–4.531.15–4.272.81–8.79safer1.27–4.920.73–4.692.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.31 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 2.67 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.97 | 26% 25% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.92 2.06–5.79 1.57–6.28 | 4.82 3.08–6.56 2.61–7.03 | 8.75 5.14–12.35 4.19–13.31 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.13 8.20–16.05 7.11–17.14 | 13.49 9.92–17.05 8.96–18.01 | 25.61 18.12–33.10 16.07–35.15 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.82 5.88–11.76 5.05–12.59 | 9.00 6.32–11.68 5.58–12.42 | 17.82 12.20–23.44 10.63–25.01 | 44% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 4.44 2.78–6.09 2.29–6.58 | 7.96 4.43–11.50 3.39–12.53 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.60 2.39–6.81 1.81–7.39 | 5.84 3.84–7.84 3.31–8.37 | 10.44 6.23–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 37.55 30.76–44.34 29.09–46.01 | 63.22 56.44–70.01 54.77–71.68 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 332 265–399 247–418 | 566 500–633 482–650 | 898 765–1032 729–1068 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.11 60.09–68.14 58.79–69.44 | 76.06 71.73–80.38 70.42–81.69 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.70–14.38 7.95–15.14 | 9.28 6.33–12.22 5.59–12.97 | 20.82 15.04–26.60 13.53–28.11 | 65% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.90 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.28 | 3.42 1.17–5.67 0.58–6.26 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.07–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.82 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.71 1.15–4.27 0.73–4.69 | 5.80 2.81–8.79 2.00–9.61 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+