Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.462.69safe0.27–2.200.60–2.310.87–4.51safer0.01–2.450.37–2.540.39–4.99
Shots on target
37%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.964.448.40safe2.10–5.822.70–6.184.79–12.00safer1.61–6.312.23–6.653.84–12.96
Total shots
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5813.8526.43safe8.66–16.5110.29–17.4118.94–33.92safer7.57–17.609.33–18.3716.89–35.97
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.839.8417.67safe4.89–10.777.16–12.5212.05–23.29safer4.06–11.606.42–13.2610.48–24.86
Blocked shots
34%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.728.77safe2.16–5.933.07–6.385.24–12.31safer1.62–6.472.58–6.874.20–13.34
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.365.3410.71safe3.15–7.583.34–7.346.49–14.92safer2.58–8.152.81–7.885.38–16.03
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.1850.34safe43.39–56.9743.56–57.13safer41.72–58.6441.89–58.80
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction447420867safe379–514354–486733–1000safer361–532336–504697–1036
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction69.0372.31safe65.00–73.0667.98–76.63safer63.71–74.3566.68–77.94
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2311.3222.55safe8.39–14.078.38–14.2716.77–28.34safer7.64–14.827.63–15.0215.27–29.84
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.713.74safe0.87–3.190.62–2.801.49–5.99safer0.57–3.490.33–3.090.90–6.58
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.813.47safe0.61–2.710.68–2.941.30–5.65safer0.35–2.980.39–3.230.74–6.21
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
46%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.882.585.46safe1.44–4.311.02–4.142.47–8.45safer1.05–4.700.60–4.561.65–9.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.27–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.96 2.10–5.82 1.61–6.31 | 4.44 2.70–6.18 2.23–6.65 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.84–12.96 | 37% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.58 8.66–16.51 7.57–17.60 | 13.85 10.29–17.41 9.33–18.37 | 26.43 18.94–33.92 16.89–35.97 | 37% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.83 4.89–10.77 4.06–11.60 | 9.84 7.16–12.52 6.42–13.26 | 17.67 12.05–23.29 10.48–24.86 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 4.72 3.07–6.38 2.58–6.87 | 8.77 5.24–12.31 4.20–13.34 | 34% 13% 52% |
| Corners | 5.36 3.15–7.58 2.58–8.15 | 5.34 3.34–7.34 2.81–7.88 | 10.71 6.49–14.92 5.38–16.03 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 50.18 43.39–56.97 41.72–58.64 | 50.34 43.56–57.13 41.89–58.80 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 447 379–514 361–532 | 420 354–486 336–504 | 867 733–1000 697–1036 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.03 65.00–73.06 63.71–74.35 | 72.31 67.98–76.63 66.68–77.94 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 11.23 8.39–14.07 7.64–14.82 | 11.32 8.38–14.27 7.63–15.02 | 22.55 16.77–28.34 15.27–29.84 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.74 1.49–5.99 0.90–6.58 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.47 1.30–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 2.58 1.02–4.14 0.60–4.56 | 5.46 2.47–8.45 1.65–9.26 | 46% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.