Premier League·Regular Season - 36·
Premier League·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
22%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.900.822.72safe0.93–2.870.00–1.670.89–4.54safer0.68–3.120.00–1.900.41–5.02
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.373.578.94safe3.51–7.231.83–5.315.33–12.54safer3.02–7.721.36–5.784.38–13.50
Total shots
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5410.8326.37safe11.61–19.467.27–14.3918.88–33.85safer10.52–20.556.31–15.3516.83–35.91
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.747.3218.06safe7.80–13.684.64–10.0012.43–23.68safer6.97–14.513.90–10.7410.87–25.25
Blocked shots
62%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.383.027.40safe2.50–6.271.37–4.673.87–10.94safer1.96–6.810.88–5.172.83–11.98
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.183.579.75safe3.96–8.391.57–5.575.53–13.96safer3.39–8.961.03–6.104.42–15.07
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.4340.18safe53.64–67.2233.39–46.96safer51.97–68.8931.72–48.63
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction543346889safe476–610280–413756–1023safer458–628262–430720–1059
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction75.7869.16safe71.75–79.8164.84–73.49safer70.46–81.1063.53–74.79
Fouls
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0113.5123.53safe7.18–12.8510.57–16.4617.74–29.31safer6.42–13.619.82–17.2116.24–30.81
Offsides
53%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.333.31safe0.82–3.140.24–2.421.06–5.57safer0.52–3.440.00–2.710.47–6.16
Yellow cards
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.322.313.63safe0.27–2.371.19–3.441.45–5.81safer0.00–2.630.89–3.730.90–6.37
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.466.03safe1.13–4.001.91–5.023.04–9.02safer0.74–4.391.48–5.442.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 2.72 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 63% 22% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.51–7.23 3.02–7.72 | 3.57 1.83–5.31 1.36–5.78 | 8.94 5.33–12.54 4.38–13.50 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.54 11.61–19.46 10.52–20.55 | 10.83 7.27–14.39 6.31–15.35 | 26.37 18.88–33.85 16.83–35.91 | 79% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.74 7.80–13.68 6.97–14.51 | 7.32 4.64–10.00 3.90–10.74 | 18.06 12.43–23.68 10.87–25.25 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.38 2.50–6.27 1.96–6.81 | 3.02 1.37–4.67 0.88–5.17 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.98 | 62% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.18 3.96–8.39 3.39–8.96 | 3.57 1.57–5.57 1.03–6.10 | 9.75 5.53–13.96 4.42–15.07 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 60.43 53.64–67.22 51.97–68.89 | 40.18 33.39–46.96 31.72–48.63 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 543 476–610 458–628 | 346 280–413 262–430 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.78 71.75–79.81 70.46–81.10 | 69.16 64.84–73.49 63.53–74.79 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.01 7.18–12.85 6.42–13.61 | 13.51 10.57–16.46 9.82–17.21 | 23.53 17.74–29.31 16.24–30.81 | 20% 73% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 53% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.00–2.63 | 2.31 1.19–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.46 1.91–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 6.03 3.04–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.