Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.082.80safe0.75–2.680.23–1.940.97–4.62safer0.49–2.930.00–2.160.49–5.10
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.813.729.53safe3.95–7.671.98–5.465.93–13.14safer3.46–8.161.51–5.934.97–14.09
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9710.0827.05safe13.05–20.906.52–13.6419.57–34.54safer11.96–21.995.56–14.6017.51–36.59
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.667.0518.72safe8.72–14.614.37–9.7313.09–24.34safer7.89–15.433.64–10.4711.53–25.91
Blocked shots
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.053.158.20safe3.16–6.931.50–4.814.66–11.73safer2.62–7.471.01–5.303.63–12.77
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.423.8510.27safe4.21–8.631.85–5.856.06–14.48safer3.63–9.211.32–6.384.95–15.59
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.3141.96safe51.52–65.1035.17–48.74safer49.85–66.7733.50–50.41
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction526357884safe459–594291–424750–1017safer441–612273–441714–1053
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction74.5769.10safe70.54–78.6064.78–73.43safer69.24–79.8963.47–74.74
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0610.8420.90safe7.22–12.907.90–13.7915.12–26.69safer6.47–13.657.15–14.5413.62–28.19
Offsides
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.204.20safe0.84–3.161.11–3.301.95–6.46safer0.54–3.460.82–3.581.36–7.05
Yellow cards
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.683.12safe0.39–2.490.55–2.810.94–5.30safer0.13–2.760.26–3.100.39–5.86
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.776.16safe0.96–3.832.22–5.333.17–9.16safer0.57–4.221.79–5.752.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.75–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.16 | 2.80 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.81 3.95–7.67 3.46–8.16 | 3.72 1.98–5.46 1.51–5.93 | 9.53 5.93–13.14 4.97–14.09 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.97 13.05–20.90 11.96–21.99 | 10.08 6.52–13.64 5.56–14.60 | 27.05 19.57–34.54 17.51–36.59 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.66 8.72–14.61 7.89–15.43 | 7.05 4.37–9.73 3.64–10.47 | 18.72 13.09–24.34 11.53–25.91 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 5.05 3.16–6.93 2.62–7.47 | 3.15 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 8.20 4.66–11.73 3.63–12.77 | 69% 20% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.63 3.63–9.21 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.32–6.38 | 10.27 6.06–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 58.31 51.52–65.10 49.85–66.77 | 41.96 35.17–48.74 33.50–50.41 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 526 459–594 441–612 | 357 291–424 273–441 | 884 750–1017 714–1053 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.57 70.54–78.60 69.24–79.89 | 69.10 64.78–73.43 63.47–74.74 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.90 6.47–13.65 | 10.84 7.90–13.79 7.15–14.54 | 20.90 15.12–26.69 13.62–28.19 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 2.20 1.11–3.30 0.82–3.58 | 4.20 1.95–6.46 1.36–7.05 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.12 0.94–5.30 0.39–5.86 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 3.77 2.22–5.33 1.79–5.75 | 6.16 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.