Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.303.09safe0.82–2.750.45–2.161.27–4.91safer0.57–3.010.22–2.390.79–5.39
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.389.67safe3.43–7.162.64–6.126.07–13.28safer2.94–7.652.17–6.595.11–14.23
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7211.9726.69safe10.80–18.648.41–15.5419.21–34.18safer9.70–19.747.45–16.5017.16–36.23
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction10.868.3719.23safe7.91–13.805.69–11.0513.60–24.85safer7.08–14.634.95–11.7912.04–26.42
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.533.588.11safe2.64–6.411.93–5.244.57–11.64safer2.10–6.951.44–5.733.54–12.68
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.693.999.68safe3.48–7.911.99–5.995.47–13.90safer2.91–8.481.46–6.534.36–15.01
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction49.1251.50safe42.33–55.9144.72–58.29safer40.66–57.5843.05–59.96
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction441453893safe373–508386–519760–1027safer355–526369–537724–1063
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction73.1978.39safe69.16–77.2274.07–82.72safer67.87–78.5172.76–84.03
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2812.9223.21safe7.45–13.129.98–15.8717.42–28.99safer6.69–13.889.23–16.6215.92–30.49
Offsides
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.353.52safe1.00–3.330.26–2.451.26–5.77safer0.70–3.630.00–2.730.68–6.36
Yellow cards
23%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.373.84safe0.43–2.521.24–3.501.66–6.02safer0.16–2.790.95–3.791.11–6.58
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.476.42safe1.51–4.381.92–5.033.43–9.41safer1.12–4.771.49–5.452.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.75 0.57–3.01 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.29 3.43–7.16 2.94–7.65 | 4.38 2.64–6.12 2.17–6.59 | 9.67 6.07–13.28 5.11–14.23 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.72 10.80–18.64 9.70–19.74 | 11.97 8.41–15.54 7.45–16.50 | 26.69 19.21–34.18 17.16–36.23 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 10.86 7.91–13.80 7.08–14.63 | 8.37 5.69–11.05 4.95–11.79 | 19.23 13.60–24.85 12.04–26.42 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.64–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 3.58 1.93–5.24 1.44–5.73 | 8.11 4.57–11.64 3.54–12.68 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.48–7.91 2.91–8.48 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.53 | 9.68 5.47–13.90 4.36–15.01 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 49.12 42.33–55.91 40.66–57.58 | 51.50 44.72–58.29 43.05–59.96 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 441 373–508 355–526 | 453 386–519 369–537 | 893 760–1027 724–1063 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.19 69.16–77.22 67.87–78.51 | 78.39 74.07–82.72 72.76–84.03 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.45–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 12.92 9.98–15.87 9.23–16.62 | 23.21 17.42–28.99 15.92–30.49 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.00–3.33 0.70–3.63 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.73 | 3.52 1.26–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.43–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.11–6.58 | 23% 19% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.