Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.253.00safe0.79–2.720.39–2.101.18–4.83safer0.54–2.970.17–2.330.70–5.31
Shots on target
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.649.78safe3.27–6.992.90–6.396.17–13.38safer2.78–7.482.43–6.855.22–14.34
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5911.6126.21safe10.67–18.528.05–15.1818.72–33.69safer9.58–19.617.09–16.1416.67–35.74
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.698.4918.18safe6.74–12.635.81–11.1712.55–23.80safer5.91–13.465.07–11.9110.99–25.37
Blocked shots
58%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.407.88safe2.60–6.361.75–5.054.34–11.41safer2.05–6.911.25–5.543.31–12.45
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.414.5710.98safe4.20–8.622.57–6.576.77–15.19safer3.62–9.202.04–7.105.66–16.30
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.0944.22safe49.30–62.8837.43–51.00safer47.63–64.5535.76–52.68
Passes
84%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction509388897safe442–577321–454763–1031safer424–595304–472728–1066
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction72.6470.81safe68.61–76.6766.49–75.13safer67.32–77.9665.18–76.44
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6412.0821.72safe6.80–12.479.13–15.0215.93–27.50safer6.04–13.238.39–15.7714.43–29.00
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.493.48safe0.83–3.150.40–2.581.22–5.73safer0.53–3.450.11–2.870.63–6.32
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.923.59safe0.62–2.720.79–3.051.41–5.76safer0.35–2.980.50–3.340.85–6.32
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
35%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.306.18safe1.45–4.321.75–4.863.19–9.18safer1.06–4.711.32–5.282.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.72 0.54–2.97 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.17–2.33 | 3.00 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 49% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–6.99 2.78–7.48 | 4.64 2.90–6.39 2.43–6.85 | 9.78 6.17–13.38 5.22–14.34 | 50% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.59 10.67–18.52 9.58–19.61 | 11.61 8.05–15.18 7.09–16.14 | 26.21 18.72–33.69 16.67–35.74 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.69 6.74–12.63 5.91–13.46 | 8.49 5.81–11.17 5.07–11.91 | 18.18 12.55–23.80 10.99–25.37 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.60–6.36 2.05–6.91 | 3.40 1.75–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 7.88 4.34–11.41 3.31–12.45 | 58% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.20–8.62 3.62–9.20 | 4.57 2.57–6.57 2.04–7.10 | 10.98 6.77–15.19 5.66–16.30 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 56.09 49.30–62.88 47.63–64.55 | 44.22 37.43–51.00 35.76–52.68 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 509 442–577 424–595 | 388 321–454 304–472 | 897 763–1031 728–1066 | 84% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.64 68.61–76.67 67.32–77.96 | 70.81 66.49–75.13 65.18–76.44 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 9.64 6.80–12.47 6.04–13.23 | 12.08 9.13–15.02 8.39–15.77 | 21.72 15.93–27.50 14.43–29.00 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.48 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.59 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 3.30 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 6.18 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 35% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.