Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.282.59safe0.35–2.280.42–2.130.77–4.42safer0.10–2.540.19–2.360.29–4.90
Shots on target
43%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.619.22safe2.74–6.472.87–6.355.61–12.82safer2.25–6.962.40–6.824.65–13.78
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4312.9027.33safe10.50–18.359.34–16.4619.84–34.82safer9.41–19.458.38–17.4217.79–36.87
Shots in box
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction9.669.3419.00safe6.72–12.606.66–12.0213.38–24.62safer5.89–13.435.92–12.7611.81–26.19
Blocked shots
50%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.928.31safe2.51–6.272.26–5.574.77–11.84safer1.97–6.821.77–6.063.73–12.88
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.465.0110.47safe3.24–7.673.01–7.016.25–14.68safer2.67–8.242.48–7.545.15–15.79
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction54.2746.09safe47.48–61.0639.31–52.88safer45.81–62.7337.64–54.55
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction495407903safe428–563341–474769–1036safer410–581323–491733–1072
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction72.0370.40safe68.00–76.0666.08–74.73safer66.71–77.3664.77–76.04
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8510.3522.20safe9.01–14.697.41–13.3016.42–27.98safer8.25–15.446.66–14.0514.92–29.49
Offsides
30%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.652.96safe0.15–2.470.56–2.740.70–5.21safer0.00–2.770.27–3.030.11–5.80
Yellow cards
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.663.32safe0.61–2.710.53–2.791.14–5.50safer0.34–2.970.24–3.080.58–6.05
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.12safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.296.24safe1.52–4.391.73–4.843.24–9.23safer1.13–4.771.30–5.272.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.28 0.10–2.54 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.74–6.47 2.25–6.96 | 4.61 2.87–6.35 2.40–6.82 | 9.22 5.61–12.82 4.65–13.78 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 14.43 10.50–18.35 9.41–19.45 | 12.90 9.34–16.46 8.38–17.42 | 27.33 19.84–34.82 17.79–36.87 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.66 6.72–12.60 5.89–13.43 | 9.34 6.66–12.02 5.92–12.76 | 19.00 13.38–24.62 11.81–26.19 | 48% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.51–6.27 1.97–6.82 | 3.92 2.26–5.57 1.77–6.06 | 8.31 4.77–11.84 3.73–12.88 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.24–7.67 2.67–8.24 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.48–7.54 | 10.47 6.25–14.68 5.15–15.79 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 54.27 47.48–61.06 45.81–62.73 | 46.09 39.31–52.88 37.64–54.55 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 495 428–563 410–581 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 903 769–1036 733–1072 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.03 68.00–76.06 66.71–77.36 | 70.40 66.08–74.73 64.77–76.04 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 11.85 9.01–14.69 8.25–15.44 | 10.35 7.41–13.30 6.66–14.05 | 22.20 16.42–27.98 14.92–29.49 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 1.65 0.56–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 2.96 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 30% 24% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.58–6.05 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.77 | 3.29 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.27 | 6.24 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.