Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.172.55safe0.41–2.350.31–2.020.73–4.37safer0.16–2.600.09–2.250.25–4.85
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.118.77safe2.80–6.522.36–5.855.16–12.37safer2.31–7.011.90–6.314.21–13.33
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0813.5028.58safe11.15–19.009.93–17.0621.09–36.06safer10.06–20.108.97–18.0219.04–38.11
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.158.4817.63safe6.21–12.105.80–11.1612.01–23.25safer5.38–12.935.06–11.8910.44–24.82
Blocked shots
54%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.347.49safe2.27–6.041.68–4.993.96–11.03safer1.73–6.581.19–5.482.92–12.06
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.499.95safe3.25–7.672.49–6.495.74–14.17safer2.67–8.251.96–7.034.63–15.27
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.5149.93safe43.72–57.3043.15–56.72safer42.05–58.9741.48–58.39
Passes
55%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction469452921safe401–536386–519787–1055safer383–554368–536752–1090
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction66.5371.54safe62.50–70.5667.22–75.87safer61.21–71.8665.91–77.18
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6011.1022.70safe8.76–14.448.16–14.0416.92–28.48safer8.01–15.197.41–14.7915.41–29.99
Offsides
46%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.854.04safe1.03–3.350.76–2.941.79–6.29safer0.73–3.650.47–3.231.20–6.88
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.863.74safe0.83–2.930.73–2.991.56–5.92safer0.56–3.200.44–3.281.01–6.48
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.396.19safe1.36–4.231.84–4.953.20–9.18safer0.97–4.621.41–5.372.39–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.80–6.52 2.31–7.01 | 4.11 2.36–5.85 1.90–6.31 | 8.77 5.16–12.37 4.21–13.33 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 15.08 11.15–19.00 10.06–20.10 | 13.50 9.93–17.06 8.97–18.02 | 28.58 21.09–36.06 19.04–38.11 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.15 6.21–12.10 5.38–12.93 | 8.48 5.80–11.16 5.06–11.89 | 17.63 12.01–23.25 10.44–24.82 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.27–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 3.34 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 7.49 3.96–11.03 2.92–12.06 | 54% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.25–7.67 2.67–8.25 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.03 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.27 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 50.51 43.72–57.30 42.05–58.97 | 49.93 43.15–56.72 41.48–58.39 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 469 401–536 383–554 | 452 386–519 368–536 | 921 787–1055 752–1090 | 55% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.53 62.50–70.56 61.21–71.86 | 71.54 67.22–75.87 65.91–77.18 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.60 8.76–14.44 8.01–15.19 | 11.10 8.16–14.04 7.41–14.79 | 22.70 16.92–28.48 15.41–29.99 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.73–3.65 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 4.04 1.79–6.29 1.20–6.88 | 46% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.20 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 3.39 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 6.19 3.20–9.18 2.39–9.99 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+