Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.192.66safe0.50–2.440.34–2.040.84–4.48safer0.25–2.690.11–2.270.36–4.96
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.784.158.93safe2.92–6.652.40–5.895.32–12.53safer2.43–7.141.94–6.354.37–13.49
Total shots
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8112.7226.53safe9.89–17.749.16–16.2819.05–34.02safer8.80–18.838.20–17.2416.99–36.07
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.407.6117.01safe6.46–12.344.93–10.2911.39–22.63safer5.63–13.174.19–11.039.82–24.20
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.747.58safe1.96–5.722.09–5.394.04–11.12safer1.41–6.271.60–5.893.01–12.15
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.364.619.97safe3.14–7.572.61–6.615.76–14.18safer2.57–8.142.08–7.154.65–15.29
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction50.6349.28safe43.84–57.4242.49–56.06safer42.17–59.0940.82–57.73
Passes
52%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction477469946safe410–544403–536813–1080safer392–562385–553777–1116
Pass accuracy %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction68.1671.99safe64.13–72.1967.67–76.32safer62.84–73.4866.36–77.63
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2611.7221.99safe7.43–13.108.78–14.6716.20–27.77safer6.67–13.868.03–15.4214.70–29.27
Offsides
35%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.993.77safe0.62–2.940.90–3.081.52–6.03safer0.32–3.240.61–3.370.93–6.62
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.783.20safe0.37–2.470.65–2.911.03–5.38safer0.11–2.740.36–3.200.47–5.94
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.225.93safe1.27–4.141.67–4.782.94–8.92safer0.88–4.531.24–5.202.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.19 0.34–2.04 0.11–2.27 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 44% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.78 2.92–6.65 2.43–7.14 | 4.15 2.40–5.89 1.94–6.35 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.81 9.89–17.74 8.80–18.83 | 12.72 9.16–16.28 8.20–17.24 | 26.53 19.05–34.02 16.99–36.07 | 55% 38% |
| Shots in box | 9.40 6.46–12.34 5.63–13.17 | 7.61 4.93–10.29 4.19–11.03 | 17.01 11.39–22.63 9.82–24.20 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.41–6.27 | 3.74 2.09–5.39 1.60–5.89 | 7.58 4.04–11.12 3.01–12.15 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.36 3.14–7.57 2.57–8.14 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.08–7.15 | 9.97 5.76–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 50.63 43.84–57.42 42.17–59.09 | 49.28 42.49–56.06 40.82–57.73 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 477 410–544 392–562 | 469 403–536 385–553 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 52% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.16 64.13–72.19 62.84–73.48 | 71.99 67.67–76.32 66.36–77.63 | — | 29% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.26 7.43–13.10 6.67–13.86 | 11.72 8.78–14.67 8.03–15.42 | 21.99 16.20–27.77 14.70–29.27 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.99 0.90–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 3.77 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 35% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.20 1.03–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 3.22 1.67–4.78 1.24–5.20 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.13–9.74 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.