Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
24%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction0.971.652.63safe0.00–1.940.80–2.510.80–4.45safer0.00–2.190.57–2.740.32–4.93
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.555.028.57safe1.69–5.413.28–6.764.96–12.17safer1.20–5.902.81–7.234.01–13.13
Total shots
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0814.3924.47safe6.16–14.0110.82–17.9516.98–31.96safer5.07–15.109.86–18.9114.93–34.01
Shots in box
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.929.9216.84safe3.97–9.867.24–12.6011.21–22.46safer3.14–10.696.50–13.349.65–24.03
Blocked shots
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.936.35safe0.54–4.302.28–5.582.82–9.89safer0.00–4.851.78–6.071.78–10.92
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.025.519.53safe1.81–6.233.51–7.515.31–13.74safer1.23–6.812.97–8.044.21–14.85
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.0463.58safe30.25–43.8356.79–70.36safer28.58–45.5055.12–72.03
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction318551869safe251–385485–618736–1003safer233–403467–635700–1039
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction57.1275.03safe53.09–61.1470.71–79.36safer51.79–62.4469.40–80.67
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9812.6425.62safe10.14–15.819.70–15.5919.84–31.40safer9.38–16.578.95–16.3418.33–32.91
Offsides
73%
13%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction3.431.554.98safe2.27–4.590.45–2.642.73–7.23safer1.97–4.890.17–2.932.14–7.82
Yellow cards
42%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.964.01safe1.01–3.100.83–3.091.83–6.19safer0.74–3.370.54–3.381.28–6.75
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.062.705.77safe1.63–4.501.15–4.262.77–8.76safer1.24–4.890.72–4.681.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 1.65 0.80–2.51 0.57–2.74 | 2.63 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 22% 24% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.55 1.69–5.41 1.20–5.90 | 5.02 3.28–6.76 2.81–7.23 | 8.57 4.96–12.17 4.01–13.13 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 10.08 6.16–14.01 5.07–15.10 | 14.39 10.82–17.95 9.86–18.91 | 24.47 16.98–31.96 14.93–34.01 | 16% 78% |
| Shots in box | 6.92 3.97–9.86 3.14–10.69 | 9.92 7.24–12.60 6.50–13.34 | 16.84 11.21–22.46 9.65–24.03 | 20% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 2.42 0.54–4.30 0.00–4.85 | 3.93 2.28–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 6.35 2.82–9.89 1.78–10.92 | 21% 14% 65% |
| Corners | 4.02 1.81–6.23 1.23–6.81 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.97–8.04 | 9.53 5.31–13.74 4.21–14.85 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 37.04 30.25–43.83 28.58–45.50 | 63.58 56.79–70.36 55.12–72.03 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 318 251–385 233–403 | 551 485–618 467–635 | 869 736–1003 700–1039 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 57.12 53.09–61.14 51.79–62.44 | 75.03 70.71–79.36 69.40–80.67 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 12.98 10.14–15.81 9.38–16.57 | 12.64 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.34 | 25.62 19.84–31.40 18.33–32.91 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 3.43 2.27–4.59 1.97–4.89 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 4.98 2.73–7.23 2.14–7.82 | 73% 13% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 4.01 1.83–6.19 1.28–6.75 | 42% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 2.70 1.15–4.26 0.72–4.68 | 5.77 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.