Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.070.802.87safe1.10–3.040.00–1.651.04–4.69safer0.85–3.290.00–1.880.56–5.17
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.952.738.69safe4.09–7.820.99–4.475.08–12.29safer3.60–8.310.52–4.944.13–13.25
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.428.6225.05safe12.50–20.355.06–12.1917.56–32.54safer11.41–21.444.10–13.1515.51–34.59
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.275.9416.21safe7.33–13.213.26–8.6210.59–21.83safer6.50–14.042.52–9.369.02–23.40
Blocked shots
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.422.326.74safe2.54–6.310.66–3.973.21–10.28safer2.00–6.850.17–4.462.17–11.31
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.753.3110.06safe4.54–8.971.31–5.315.85–14.28safer3.97–9.540.78–5.844.74–15.38
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.6734.05safe58.88–72.4627.26–40.83safer57.21–74.1325.59–42.51
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction613307920safe546–681241–374787–1054safer528–699223–391751–1090
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction73.8962.33safe69.87–77.9258.00–66.65safer68.57–79.2256.69–67.96
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5112.0423.55safe8.68–14.359.09–14.9817.77–29.33safer7.92–15.118.34–15.7316.26–30.83
Offsides
16%
15%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.523.084.59safe0.36–2.681.98–4.172.34–6.85safer0.06–2.981.70–4.461.75–7.44
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.963.48safe0.47–2.570.83–3.091.30–5.66safer0.20–2.830.54–3.380.74–6.21
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.083.655.73safe0.64–3.512.09–5.212.73–8.72safer0.25–3.901.67–5.631.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.07 1.10–3.04 0.85–3.29 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 67% 20% 13% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.09–7.82 3.60–8.31 | 2.73 0.99–4.47 0.52–4.94 | 8.69 5.08–12.29 4.13–13.25 | 83% |
| Total shots | 16.42 12.50–20.35 11.41–21.44 | 8.62 5.06–12.19 4.10–13.15 | 25.05 17.56–32.54 15.51–34.59 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.27 7.33–13.21 6.50–14.04 | 5.94 3.26–8.62 2.52–9.36 | 16.21 10.59–21.83 9.02–23.40 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.54–6.31 2.00–6.85 | 2.32 0.66–3.97 0.17–4.46 | 6.74 3.21–10.28 2.17–11.31 | 73% 15% |
| Corners | 6.75 4.54–8.97 3.97–9.54 | 3.31 1.31–5.31 0.78–5.84 | 10.06 5.85–14.28 4.74–15.38 | 83% |
| Possession % | 65.67 58.88–72.46 57.21–74.13 | 34.05 27.26–40.83 25.59–42.51 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 613 546–681 528–699 | 307 241–374 223–391 | 920 787–1054 751–1090 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.89 69.87–77.92 68.57–79.22 | 62.33 58.00–66.65 56.69–67.96 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 11.51 8.68–14.35 7.92–15.11 | 12.04 9.09–14.98 8.34–15.73 | 23.55 17.77–29.33 16.26–30.83 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 3.08 1.98–4.17 1.70–4.46 | 4.59 2.34–6.85 1.75–7.44 | 16% 15% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.64–3.51 0.25–3.90 | 3.65 2.09–5.21 1.67–5.63 | 5.73 2.73–8.72 1.92–9.53 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.