Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.020.882.90safe1.05–2.990.03–1.731.08–4.72safer0.80–3.240.00–1.960.60–5.20
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.333.319.64safe4.47–8.191.57–5.056.04–13.25safer3.98–8.681.10–5.525.08–14.20
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6610.6728.33safe13.74–21.597.10–14.2320.84–35.82safer12.65–22.686.14–15.1918.79–37.87
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction12.046.6918.73safe9.10–14.984.01–9.3713.10–24.35safer8.27–15.813.27–10.1111.54–25.92
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.472.917.38safe2.59–6.351.26–4.563.85–10.92safer2.05–6.900.77–5.062.81–11.95
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.773.6510.41safe4.55–8.981.65–5.656.20–14.63safer3.98–9.551.11–6.185.09–15.73
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.7041.15safe52.91–66.4934.37–47.94safer51.24–68.1632.70–49.61
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction592372964safe525–659305–438830–1097safer507–677288–456794–1133
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction72.2768.24safe68.24–76.3063.92–72.56safer66.95–77.5962.61–73.87
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7111.4422.15safe7.88–13.558.49–14.3816.37–27.94safer7.12–14.317.75–15.1314.87–29.44
Offsides
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.933.76safe0.67–2.990.84–3.031.51–6.02safer0.37–3.290.55–3.310.92–6.61
Yellow cards
22%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.183.50safe0.27–2.361.06–3.311.32–5.68safer0.00–2.630.76–3.610.76–6.24
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.306.65safe0.91–3.782.74–5.863.65–9.64safer0.52–4.172.32–6.282.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 0.88 0.03–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 64% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.33 4.47–8.19 3.98–8.68 | 3.31 1.57–5.05 1.10–5.52 | 9.64 6.04–13.25 5.08–14.20 | 79% |
| Total shots | 17.66 13.74–21.59 12.65–22.68 | 10.67 7.10–14.23 6.14–15.19 | 28.33 20.84–35.82 18.79–37.87 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 12.04 9.10–14.98 8.27–15.81 | 6.69 4.01–9.37 3.27–10.11 | 18.73 13.10–24.35 11.54–25.92 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.05–6.90 | 2.91 1.26–4.56 0.77–5.06 | 7.38 3.85–10.92 2.81–11.95 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.77 4.55–8.98 3.98–9.55 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.11–6.18 | 10.41 6.20–14.63 5.09–15.73 | 79% |
| Possession % | 59.70 52.91–66.49 51.24–68.16 | 41.15 34.37–47.94 32.70–49.61 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 592 525–659 507–677 | 372 305–438 288–456 | 964 830–1097 794–1133 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.27 68.24–76.30 66.95–77.59 | 68.24 63.92–72.56 62.61–73.87 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 10.71 7.88–13.55 7.12–14.31 | 11.44 8.49–14.38 7.75–15.13 | 22.15 16.37–27.94 14.87–29.44 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.93 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.31 | 3.76 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.27–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 2.18 1.06–3.31 0.76–3.61 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.76–6.24 | 22% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 4.30 2.74–5.86 2.32–6.28 | 6.65 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+