Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.652.73safe0.12–2.050.79–2.500.91–4.56safer0.00–2.310.56–2.730.43–5.04
Shots on target
28%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.875.098.96safe2.00–5.733.35–6.835.35–12.56safer1.51–6.222.88–7.304.40–13.52
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7815.1526.93safe7.85–15.7011.59–18.7219.44–34.42safer6.76–16.7910.63–19.6717.39–36.47
Shots in box
24%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6510.0517.70safe4.71–10.607.37–12.7312.08–23.32safer3.88–11.436.63–13.4710.51–24.89
Blocked shots
26%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.304.637.93safe1.42–5.182.98–6.284.39–11.47safer0.88–5.732.48–6.773.36–12.50
Corners
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.675.5310.19safe2.45–6.883.53–7.535.98–14.41safer1.88–7.453.00–8.064.87–15.51
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction41.1559.65safe34.36–47.9452.87–66.44safer32.69–49.6151.20–68.11
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction374541915safe307–441474–607781–1048safer289–459457–625745–1084
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.6877.94safe59.65–67.7173.61–82.26safer58.36–69.0072.30–83.57
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4711.5022.97safe8.63–14.318.56–14.4517.19–28.76safer7.88–15.067.81–15.2015.69–30.26
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.333.28safe0.79–3.110.24–2.431.03–5.54safer0.49–3.410.00–2.720.44–6.13
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.983.91safe0.88–2.980.85–3.101.73–6.09safer0.62–3.250.56–3.401.17–6.64
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.575.97safe1.97–4.841.01–4.122.98–8.96safer1.58–5.230.59–4.552.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.31 | 1.65 0.79–2.50 0.56–2.73 | 2.73 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 25% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.87 2.00–5.73 1.51–6.22 | 5.09 3.35–6.83 2.88–7.30 | 8.96 5.35–12.56 4.40–13.52 | 28% 59% |
| Total shots | 11.78 7.85–15.70 6.76–16.79 | 15.15 11.59–18.72 10.63–19.67 | 26.93 19.44–34.42 17.39–36.47 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 7.65 4.71–10.60 3.88–11.43 | 10.05 7.37–12.73 6.63–13.47 | 17.70 12.08–23.32 10.51–24.89 | 24% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.30 1.42–5.18 0.88–5.73 | 4.63 2.98–6.28 2.48–6.77 | 7.93 4.39–11.47 3.36–12.50 | 26% 61% |
| Corners | 4.67 2.45–6.88 1.88–7.45 | 5.53 3.53–7.53 3.00–8.06 | 10.19 5.98–14.41 4.87–15.51 | 33% 54% |
| Possession % | 41.15 34.36–47.94 32.69–49.61 | 59.65 52.87–66.44 51.20–68.11 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 374 307–441 289–459 | 541 474–607 457–625 | 915 781–1048 745–1084 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.68 59.65–67.71 58.36–69.00 | 77.94 73.61–82.26 72.30–83.57 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.47 8.63–14.31 7.88–15.06 | 11.50 8.56–14.45 7.81–15.20 | 22.97 17.19–28.76 15.69–30.26 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.33 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.28 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.62–3.25 | 1.98 0.85–3.10 0.56–3.40 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.17–6.64 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.97–4.84 1.58–5.23 | 2.57 1.01–4.12 0.59–4.55 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.78 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.