Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.880.922.81safe0.91–2.850.07–1.780.98–4.63safer0.66–3.100.00–2.010.50–5.11
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.073.219.28safe4.21–7.931.47–4.955.67–12.88safer3.72–8.421.00–5.424.72–13.84
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.329.3126.63safe13.40–21.255.74–12.8719.14–34.12safer12.31–22.344.78–13.8317.09–36.17
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.606.8818.48safe8.66–14.554.20–9.5612.86–24.11safer7.83–15.383.46–10.3011.29–25.67
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.052.697.74safe3.17–6.931.04–4.354.21–11.28safer2.63–7.480.55–4.843.17–12.32
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.443.399.83safe4.23–8.661.39–5.395.62–14.04safer3.65–9.230.85–5.924.51–15.15
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction59.6738.96safe52.88–66.4632.17–45.74safer51.21–68.1330.50–47.41
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction580371951safe513–647305–438818–1085safer494–665287–455782–1121
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction75.6568.42safe71.62–79.6864.10–72.75safer70.33–80.9762.79–74.06
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9111.7323.64safe9.08–14.758.79–14.6817.86–29.43safer8.32–15.518.04–15.4316.36–30.93
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.723.11safe0.22–2.540.63–2.820.85–5.36safer0.00–2.850.34–3.110.27–5.95
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.833.21safe0.33–2.430.70–2.961.03–5.39safer0.07–2.700.41–3.250.47–5.94
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.756.16safe0.98–3.852.19–5.303.17–9.15safer0.59–4.241.77–5.732.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.81 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.07 4.21–7.93 3.72–8.42 | 3.21 1.47–4.95 1.00–5.42 | 9.28 5.67–12.88 4.72–13.84 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 17.32 13.40–21.25 12.31–22.34 | 9.31 5.74–12.87 4.78–13.83 | 26.63 19.14–34.12 17.09–36.17 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.60 8.66–14.55 7.83–15.38 | 6.88 4.20–9.56 3.46–10.30 | 18.48 12.86–24.11 11.29–25.67 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 5.05 3.17–6.93 2.63–7.48 | 2.69 1.04–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 7.74 4.21–11.28 3.17–12.32 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.44 4.23–8.66 3.65–9.23 | 3.39 1.39–5.39 0.85–5.92 | 9.83 5.62–14.04 4.51–15.15 | 79% |
| Possession % | 59.67 52.88–66.46 51.21–68.13 | 38.96 32.17–45.74 30.50–47.41 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 580 513–647 494–665 | 371 305–438 287–455 | 951 818–1085 782–1121 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.65 71.62–79.68 70.33–80.97 | 68.42 64.10–72.75 62.79–74.06 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 11.91 9.08–14.75 8.32–15.51 | 11.73 8.79–14.68 8.04–15.43 | 23.64 17.86–29.43 16.36–30.93 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.38 0.22–2.54 0.00–2.85 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.11 0.85–5.36 0.27–5.95 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.07–2.70 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.21 1.03–5.39 0.47–5.94 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.75 2.19–5.30 1.77–5.73 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.