Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
20%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.093.09safe0.04–1.971.23–2.941.27–4.91safer0.00–2.221.00–3.170.79–5.39
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.685.869.55safe1.82–5.554.12–7.605.94–13.15safer1.33–6.043.65–8.074.99–14.11
Total shots
20%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1716.2128.38safe8.24–16.0912.65–19.7720.89–35.87safer7.15–17.1811.69–20.7318.84–37.92
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8111.4219.23safe4.86–10.758.74–14.1013.61–24.85safer4.04–11.588.01–14.8412.04–26.42
Blocked shots
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.384.738.11safe1.50–5.263.07–6.384.57–11.64safer0.95–5.802.58–6.873.53–12.68
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.106.1210.22safe1.89–6.314.12–8.126.01–14.43safer1.31–6.893.59–8.664.90–15.54
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.9264.99safe29.13–42.7158.20–71.77safer27.46–44.3856.53–73.45
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction351585936safe283–418519–651802–1069safer265–436501–669766–1105
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction60.3979.71safe56.36–64.4275.39–84.04safer55.07–65.7174.08–85.35
Fouls
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.359.9721.32safe8.51–14.187.03–12.9215.54–27.10safer7.75–14.946.28–13.6714.03–28.60
Offsides
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.953.81safe0.70–3.020.86–3.041.56–6.06safer0.40–3.320.57–3.330.97–6.65
Yellow cards
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.743.87safe1.08–3.180.61–2.871.69–6.05safer0.81–3.440.32–3.161.14–6.61
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
62%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.692.446.12safe2.25–5.120.88–3.993.13–9.12safer1.86–5.510.46–4.422.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 2.09 1.23–2.94 1.00–3.17 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 17% 20% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.68 1.82–5.55 1.33–6.04 | 5.86 4.12–7.60 3.65–8.07 | 9.55 5.94–13.15 4.99–14.11 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 12.17 8.24–16.09 7.15–17.18 | 16.21 12.65–19.77 11.69–20.73 | 28.38 20.89–35.87 18.84–37.92 | 20% 75% |
| Shots in box | 7.81 4.86–10.75 4.04–11.58 | 11.42 8.74–14.10 8.01–14.84 | 19.23 13.61–24.85 12.04–26.42 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.26 0.95–5.80 | 4.73 3.07–6.38 2.58–6.87 | 8.11 4.57–11.64 3.53–12.68 | 26% 62% |
| Corners | 4.10 1.89–6.31 1.31–6.89 | 6.12 4.12–8.12 3.59–8.66 | 10.22 6.01–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 35.92 29.13–42.71 27.46–44.38 | 64.99 58.20–71.77 56.53–73.45 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 351 283–418 265–436 | 585 519–651 501–669 | 936 802–1069 766–1105 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.39 56.36–64.42 55.07–65.71 | 79.71 75.39–84.04 74.08–85.35 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.51–14.18 7.75–14.94 | 9.97 7.03–12.92 6.28–13.67 | 21.32 15.54–27.10 14.03–28.60 | 57% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.95 0.86–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.81 1.56–6.06 0.97–6.65 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.81–3.44 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.87 1.69–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.69 2.25–5.12 1.86–5.51 | 2.44 0.88–3.99 0.46–4.42 | 6.12 3.13–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 62% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.