Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.350.863.21safe1.38–3.320.01–1.721.39–5.04safer1.13–3.570.00–1.950.91–5.52
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.693.149.83safe4.83–8.551.40–4.886.23–13.44safer4.34–9.040.93–5.355.27–14.39
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.089.3227.40safe14.16–22.015.75–12.8819.91–34.89safer13.07–23.104.79–13.8417.86–36.94
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.546.2718.81safe9.60–15.483.59–8.9513.19–24.43safer8.77–16.312.85–9.6911.62–26.00
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.272.397.65safe3.38–7.150.73–4.044.12–11.19safer2.84–7.690.24–4.533.08–12.22
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.973.2711.24safe5.76–10.191.27–5.277.03–15.45safer5.19–10.760.73–5.805.92–16.56
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.8634.71safe59.07–72.6527.93–41.50safer57.40–74.3226.26–43.17
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction641340981safe574–708274–407848–1115safer556–726256–424812–1151
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction78.1165.99safe74.08–82.1461.67–70.32safer72.78–83.4360.36–71.63
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8811.5921.47safe7.04–12.728.65–14.5415.69–27.26safer6.29–13.477.90–15.2914.19–28.76
Offsides
42%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.984.10safe0.96–3.280.89–3.071.85–6.36safer0.66–3.580.60–3.361.26–6.95
Yellow cards
20%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.162.113.26safe0.11–2.210.98–3.231.09–5.44safer0.00–2.470.69–3.530.53–6.00
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.194.056.24safe0.75–3.632.50–5.613.25–9.23safer0.37–4.012.07–6.032.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.35 1.38–3.32 1.13–3.57 | 0.86 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 3.21 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 71% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.69 4.83–8.55 4.34–9.04 | 3.14 1.40–4.88 0.93–5.35 | 9.83 6.23–13.44 5.27–14.39 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.08 14.16–22.01 13.07–23.10 | 9.32 5.75–12.88 4.79–13.84 | 27.40 19.91–34.89 17.86–36.94 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.54 9.60–15.48 8.77–16.31 | 6.27 3.59–8.95 2.85–9.69 | 18.81 13.19–24.43 11.62–26.00 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.27 3.38–7.15 2.84–7.69 | 2.39 0.73–4.04 0.24–4.53 | 7.65 4.12–11.19 3.08–12.22 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.97 5.76–10.19 5.19–10.76 | 3.27 1.27–5.27 0.73–5.80 | 11.24 7.03–15.45 5.92–16.56 | 90% |
| Possession % | 65.86 59.07–72.65 57.40–74.32 | 34.71 27.93–41.50 26.26–43.17 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 641 574–708 556–726 | 340 274–407 256–424 | 981 848–1115 812–1151 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.11 74.08–82.14 72.78–83.43 | 65.99 61.67–70.32 60.36–71.63 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 9.88 7.04–12.72 6.29–13.47 | 11.59 8.65–14.54 7.90–15.29 | 21.47 15.69–27.26 14.19–28.76 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.58 | 1.98 0.89–3.07 0.60–3.36 | 4.10 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.95 | 42% 20% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.16 0.11–2.21 0.00–2.47 | 2.11 0.98–3.23 0.69–3.53 | 3.26 1.09–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.63 0.37–4.01 | 4.05 2.50–5.61 2.07–6.03 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.05 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.