Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.830.942.77safe0.86–2.800.08–1.790.95–4.59safer0.61–3.050.00–2.020.47–5.07
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.683.569.24safe3.82–7.551.81–5.305.63–12.85safer3.33–8.041.35–5.764.68–13.80
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9610.3026.26safe12.03–19.886.74–13.8618.77–33.74safer10.94–20.975.78–14.8216.72–35.79
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.277.0317.30safe7.33–13.224.35–9.7111.68–22.92safer6.50–14.043.61–10.4410.11–24.49
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.976.96safe2.11–5.871.32–4.633.43–10.50safer1.56–6.410.83–5.122.39–11.53
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.444.0310.47safe4.22–8.652.03–6.036.26–14.69safer3.65–9.231.50–6.575.15–15.79
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.8743.95safe50.08–63.6637.17–50.74safer48.41–65.3335.50–52.41
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction525394918safe457–592327–460784–1052safer439–610310–478749–1087
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction65.4665.16safe61.43–69.4960.83–69.48safer60.14–70.7959.52–70.79
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2311.8323.06safe8.39–14.068.89–14.7817.28–28.84safer7.63–14.828.14–15.5315.77–30.35
Offsides
65%
17%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.611.323.93safe1.45–3.780.22–2.411.68–6.18safer1.15–4.080.00–2.701.09–6.77
Yellow cards
23%
18%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.544.12safe0.53–2.621.41–3.671.94–6.29safer0.26–2.891.12–3.961.38–6.85
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.320.00–0.55safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
22%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.796.20safe0.98–3.852.23–5.343.21–9.19safer0.59–4.241.80–5.772.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.68 3.82–7.55 3.33–8.04 | 3.56 1.81–5.30 1.35–5.76 | 9.24 5.63–12.85 4.68–13.80 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.96 12.03–19.88 10.94–20.97 | 10.30 6.74–13.86 5.78–14.82 | 26.26 18.77–33.74 16.72–35.79 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.27 7.33–13.22 6.50–14.04 | 7.03 4.35–9.71 3.61–10.44 | 17.30 11.68–22.92 10.11–24.49 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.56–6.41 | 2.97 1.32–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 6.96 3.43–10.50 2.39–11.53 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 6.44 4.22–8.65 3.65–9.23 | 4.03 2.03–6.03 1.50–6.57 | 10.47 6.26–14.69 5.15–15.79 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 56.87 50.08–63.66 48.41–65.33 | 43.95 37.17–50.74 35.50–52.41 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 525 457–592 439–610 | 394 327–460 310–478 | 918 784–1052 749–1087 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.46 61.43–69.49 60.14–70.79 | 65.16 60.83–69.48 59.52–70.79 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 11.23 8.39–14.06 7.63–14.82 | 11.83 8.89–14.78 8.14–15.53 | 23.06 17.28–28.84 15.77–30.35 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.61 1.45–3.78 1.15–4.08 | 1.32 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.93 1.68–6.18 1.09–6.77 | 65% 17% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 2.54 1.41–3.67 1.12–3.96 | 4.12 1.94–6.29 1.38–6.85 | 23% 18% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.79 2.23–5.34 1.80–5.77 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.40–10.01 | 22% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+