Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.793.01safe0.25–2.190.94–2.651.19–4.83safer0.00–2.440.71–2.870.71–5.31
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.015.109.10safe2.15–5.873.35–6.845.50–12.71safer1.66–6.362.89–7.304.54–13.66
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3213.8726.19safe8.39–16.2410.31–17.4418.70–33.68safer7.30–17.339.35–18.4016.65–35.73
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction7.979.3117.28safe5.03–10.916.63–11.9911.65–22.90safer4.20–11.745.89–12.7210.09–24.47
Blocked shots
37%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.117.82safe1.83–5.592.46–5.774.29–11.36safer1.28–6.131.97–6.263.25–12.39
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.934.959.88safe2.72–7.152.95–6.955.67–14.10safer2.15–7.722.42–7.484.56–15.20
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.8254.87safe39.03–52.6148.09–61.66safer37.36–54.2846.42–63.33
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction414462877safe347–481396–529743–1010safer329–500378–546707–1046
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction59.1568.77safe55.12–63.1864.45–73.10safer53.83–64.4763.14–74.41
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2312.4424.67safe9.39–15.079.50–15.3918.89–30.46safer8.64–15.838.75–16.1417.39–31.96
Offsides
16%
16%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.924.31safe0.23–2.551.82–4.012.06–6.56safer0.00–2.851.54–4.301.47–7.15
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.964.06safe1.04–3.140.83–3.091.88–6.24safer0.78–3.410.54–3.381.32–6.79
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.675.92safe1.81–4.681.11–4.232.93–8.91safer1.42–5.070.69–4.652.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.79 0.94–2.65 0.71–2.87 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.01 2.15–5.87 1.66–6.36 | 5.10 3.35–6.84 2.89–7.30 | 9.10 5.50–12.71 4.54–13.66 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 12.32 8.39–16.24 7.30–17.33 | 13.87 10.31–17.44 9.35–18.40 | 26.19 18.70–33.68 16.65–35.73 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.97 5.03–10.91 4.20–11.74 | 9.31 6.63–11.99 5.89–12.72 | 17.28 11.65–22.90 10.09–24.47 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.59 1.28–6.13 | 4.11 2.46–5.77 1.97–6.26 | 7.82 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.39 | 37% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 4.93 2.72–7.15 2.15–7.72 | 4.95 2.95–6.95 2.42–7.48 | 9.88 5.67–14.10 4.56–15.20 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 45.82 39.03–52.61 37.36–54.28 | 54.87 48.09–61.66 46.42–63.33 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 414 347–481 329–500 | 462 396–529 378–546 | 877 743–1010 707–1046 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.15 55.12–63.18 53.83–64.47 | 68.77 64.45–73.10 63.14–74.41 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.23 9.39–15.07 8.64–15.83 | 12.44 9.50–15.39 8.75–16.14 | 24.67 18.89–30.46 17.39–31.96 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 2.92 1.82–4.01 1.54–4.30 | 4.31 2.06–6.56 1.47–7.15 | 16% 16% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.78–3.41 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.32–6.79 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 2.67 1.11–4.23 0.69–4.65 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+