Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.612.86safe0.29–2.220.76–2.461.04–4.69safer0.03–2.470.53–2.690.56–5.17
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.135.509.63safe2.27–5.993.76–7.246.03–13.24safer1.78–6.483.29–7.715.07–14.19
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4114.5026.91safe8.49–16.3410.94–18.0619.43–34.40safer7.40–17.439.98–19.0217.38–36.45
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.7710.0617.83safe4.83–10.727.38–12.7412.21–23.45safer4.00–11.556.64–13.4810.64–25.02
Blocked shots
35%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.474.037.51safe1.59–5.362.38–5.693.97–11.04safer1.05–5.901.89–6.182.94–12.08
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.355.2110.56safe3.14–7.563.21–7.216.35–14.78safer2.56–8.142.68–7.755.24–15.88
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction46.2855.12safe39.48–53.0748.33–61.90safer37.82–54.7446.66–63.57
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction403487890safe336–470420–553756–1024safer318–489403–571721–1059
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction66.9475.36safe62.92–70.9771.03–79.68safer61.62–72.2769.72–80.99
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2312.8124.03safe8.39–14.069.86–15.7518.25–29.82safer7.63–14.829.11–16.5016.75–31.32
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.673.59safe0.76–3.080.58–2.761.34–5.84safer0.46–3.380.29–3.050.75–6.43
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.973.72safe0.69–2.790.85–3.101.54–5.90safer0.43–3.060.55–3.390.98–6.45
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.646.10safe2.02–4.891.09–4.203.11–9.09safer1.63–5.280.66–4.632.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.29–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.61 0.76–2.46 0.53–2.69 | 2.86 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 30% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–5.99 1.78–6.48 | 5.50 3.76–7.24 3.29–7.71 | 9.63 6.03–13.24 5.07–14.19 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 12.41 8.49–16.34 7.40–17.43 | 14.50 10.94–18.06 9.98–19.02 | 26.91 19.43–34.40 17.38–36.45 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.77 4.83–10.72 4.00–11.55 | 10.06 7.38–12.74 6.64–13.48 | 17.83 12.21–23.45 10.64–25.02 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 4.03 2.38–5.69 1.89–6.18 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.94–12.08 | 35% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.14–7.56 2.56–8.14 | 5.21 3.21–7.21 2.68–7.75 | 10.56 6.35–14.78 5.24–15.88 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 46.28 39.48–53.07 37.82–54.74 | 55.12 48.33–61.90 46.66–63.57 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 403 336–470 318–489 | 487 420–553 403–571 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.94 62.92–70.97 61.62–72.27 | 75.36 71.03–79.68 69.72–80.99 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.23 8.39–14.06 7.63–14.82 | 12.81 9.86–15.75 9.11–16.50 | 24.03 18.25–29.82 16.75–31.32 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.67 0.58–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.59 1.34–5.84 0.75–6.43 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.97 0.85–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.98–6.45 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.02–4.89 1.63–5.28 | 2.64 1.09–4.20 0.66–4.63 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.30–9.91 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+