Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.083.07safe1.03–2.970.22–1.931.25–4.90safer0.78–3.220.00–2.160.77–5.38
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.933.669.59safe4.07–7.791.92–5.405.99–13.20safer3.58–8.281.45–5.875.03–14.15
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.609.7728.37safe14.67–22.526.21–13.3320.88–35.86safer13.58–23.615.25–14.2918.83–37.91
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.826.3718.19safe8.88–14.763.69–9.0512.57–23.82safer8.05–15.592.95–9.7911.00–25.38
Blocked shots
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.393.148.52safe3.50–7.271.48–4.794.99–12.06safer2.96–7.810.99–5.283.95–13.09
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.384.0710.45safe4.16–8.592.07–6.076.24–14.66safer3.59–9.161.54–6.615.13–15.77
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.8443.84safe49.05–62.6337.06–50.63safer47.38–64.3035.39–52.30
Passes
83%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction516399915safe449–583333–466781–1049safer430–601315–483745–1084
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction72.2369.14safe68.20–76.2664.82–73.46safer66.91–77.5563.51–74.77
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1111.4722.58safe8.27–13.948.52–14.4116.79–28.36safer7.51–14.707.78–15.1615.29–29.86
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.733.51safe0.62–2.940.63–2.821.26–5.76safer0.32–3.240.35–3.110.67–6.35
Yellow cards
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.823.17safe0.29–2.390.69–2.950.99–5.34safer0.03–2.660.40–3.240.43–5.90
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
22%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.816.26safe1.01–3.882.25–5.363.26–9.25safer0.62–4.271.83–5.792.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 3.07 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.38 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.93 4.07–7.79 3.58–8.28 | 3.66 1.92–5.40 1.45–5.87 | 9.59 5.99–13.20 5.03–14.15 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 18.60 14.67–22.52 13.58–23.61 | 9.77 6.21–13.33 5.25–14.29 | 28.37 20.88–35.86 18.83–37.91 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.82 8.88–14.76 8.05–15.59 | 6.37 3.69–9.05 2.95–9.79 | 18.19 12.57–23.82 11.00–25.38 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.39 3.50–7.27 2.96–7.81 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 8.52 4.99–12.06 3.95–13.09 | 73% 17% |
| Corners | 6.38 4.16–8.59 3.59–9.16 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.54–6.61 | 10.45 6.24–14.66 5.13–15.77 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 55.84 49.05–62.63 47.38–64.30 | 43.84 37.06–50.63 35.39–52.30 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 516 449–583 430–601 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 915 781–1049 745–1084 | 83% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.23 68.20–76.26 66.91–77.55 | 69.14 64.82–73.46 63.51–74.77 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.11 8.27–13.94 7.51–14.70 | 11.47 8.52–14.41 7.78–15.16 | 22.58 16.79–28.36 15.29–29.86 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.51 1.26–5.76 0.67–6.35 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.17 0.99–5.34 0.43–5.90 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.01–3.88 0.62–4.27 | 3.81 2.25–5.36 1.83–5.79 | 6.26 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 22% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+