Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.382.64safe0.29–2.230.53–2.240.82–4.46safer0.04–2.480.30–2.460.34–4.94
Shots on target
48%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.998.31safe2.46–6.182.25–5.734.71–11.92safer1.97–6.671.78–6.203.75–12.87
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9012.3125.21safe8.98–16.838.75–15.8717.72–32.70safer7.89–17.927.79–16.8315.67–34.75
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.018.5316.54safe5.07–10.965.85–11.2110.92–22.17safer4.24–11.795.11–11.959.35–23.73
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.187.11safe2.05–5.811.53–4.833.57–10.64safer1.50–6.351.04–5.332.54–11.68
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.185.1110.29safe2.97–7.403.11–7.116.08–14.51safer2.40–7.972.58–7.644.97–15.61
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction51.4148.43safe44.62–58.2041.65–55.22safer42.95–59.8739.98–56.89
Passes
66%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction472420892safe405–539354–487759–1026safer386–557336–504723–1062
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction65.6168.64safe61.58–69.6464.32–72.97safer60.29–70.9363.01–74.28
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4713.0023.46safe7.63–13.3010.05–15.9417.68–29.24safer6.87–14.069.30–16.6916.18–30.75
Offsides
27%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.053.51safe0.30–2.620.96–3.151.26–5.76safer0.00–2.920.67–3.440.67–6.35
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.314.06safe0.70–2.801.18–3.441.89–6.24safer0.44–3.070.89–3.731.33–6.80
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
37%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.155.99safe1.41–4.281.60–4.713.00–8.99safer1.02–4.671.17–5.132.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.46 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.18 1.97–6.67 | 3.99 2.25–5.73 1.78–6.20 | 8.31 4.71–11.92 3.75–12.87 | 48% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 12.90 8.98–16.83 7.89–17.92 | 12.31 8.75–15.87 7.79–16.83 | 25.21 17.72–32.70 15.67–34.75 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.01 5.07–10.96 4.24–11.79 | 8.53 5.85–11.21 5.11–11.95 | 16.54 10.92–22.17 9.35–23.73 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 3.18 1.53–4.83 1.04–5.33 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.58–7.64 | 10.29 6.08–14.51 4.97–15.61 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 51.41 44.62–58.20 42.95–59.87 | 48.43 41.65–55.22 39.98–56.89 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 386–557 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 892 759–1026 723–1062 | 66% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.61 61.58–69.64 60.29–70.93 | 68.64 64.32–72.97 63.01–74.28 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.63–13.30 6.87–14.06 | 13.00 10.05–15.94 9.30–16.69 | 23.46 17.68–29.24 16.18–30.75 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 2.05 0.96–3.15 0.67–3.44 | 3.51 1.26–5.76 0.67–6.35 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.06 1.89–6.24 1.33–6.80 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.41–4.28 1.02–4.67 | 3.15 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 5.99 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 37% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.