Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.092.71safe0.65–2.590.23–1.940.88–4.53safer0.40–2.840.00–2.170.40–5.01
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.778.97safe3.33–7.062.03–5.515.36–12.57safer2.84–7.551.56–5.984.40–13.53
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6910.8025.49safe10.76–18.617.24–14.3618.00–32.98safer9.67–19.706.28–15.3215.95–35.03
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.466.6516.11safe6.51–12.403.97–9.3310.48–21.73safer5.69–13.233.23–10.078.92–23.30
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.147.24safe2.22–5.981.48–4.793.70–10.77safer1.67–6.530.99–5.282.67–11.81
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.854.3310.18safe3.63–8.062.33–6.335.97–14.39safer3.06–8.631.80–6.874.86–15.50
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.8050.81safe43.01–56.5944.03–57.60safer41.34–58.2642.35–59.27
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction471442914safe404–539376–509780–1047safer386–557358–526744–1083
Pass accuracy %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction64.0870.20safe60.05–68.1065.87–74.52safer58.75–69.4064.56–75.83
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0711.0023.07safe9.23–14.918.06–13.9517.29–28.85safer8.47–15.667.31–14.7015.79–30.36
Offsides
54%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.283.30safe0.86–3.180.19–2.371.05–5.55safer0.56–3.480.00–2.660.46–6.14
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.853.66safe0.76–2.860.72–2.981.48–5.84safer0.49–3.120.43–3.270.92–6.40
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.285.87safe1.15–4.031.72–4.842.88–8.86safer0.77–4.411.30–5.262.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.71 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 50% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.19 3.33–7.06 2.84–7.55 | 3.77 2.03–5.51 1.56–5.98 | 8.97 5.36–12.57 4.40–13.53 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.69 10.76–18.61 9.67–19.70 | 10.80 7.24–14.36 6.28–15.32 | 25.49 18.00–32.98 15.95–35.03 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.46 6.51–12.40 5.69–13.23 | 6.65 3.97–9.33 3.23–10.07 | 16.11 10.48–21.73 8.92–23.30 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.67–6.53 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 7.24 3.70–10.77 2.67–11.81 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.63–8.06 3.06–8.63 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.80–6.87 | 10.18 5.97–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 49.80 43.01–56.59 41.34–58.26 | 50.81 44.03–57.60 42.35–59.27 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 471 404–539 386–557 | 442 376–509 358–526 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.08 60.05–68.10 58.75–69.40 | 70.20 65.87–74.52 64.56–75.83 | — | 20% 77% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.23–14.91 8.47–15.66 | 11.00 8.06–13.95 7.31–14.70 | 23.07 17.29–28.85 15.79–30.36 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 54% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.40 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.03 0.77–4.41 | 3.28 1.72–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.07–9.68 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.