Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.052.96safe0.94–2.880.20–1.911.14–4.78safer0.69–3.130.00–2.140.66–5.26
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.533.9210.45safe4.66–8.392.18–5.676.84–14.06safer4.17–8.881.72–6.135.89–15.01
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction18.9211.0129.93safe14.99–22.847.45–14.5722.44–37.42safer13.90–23.936.49–15.5320.39–39.47
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.977.0619.03safe9.03–14.914.38–9.7413.41–24.65safer8.20–15.743.64–10.4811.84–26.22
Blocked shots
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.012.987.99safe3.13–6.891.32–4.634.45–11.52safer2.59–7.440.83–5.123.42–12.56
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.704.3511.05safe4.49–8.922.35–6.356.84–15.26safer3.92–9.491.81–6.885.73–16.37
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction57.3443.66safe50.55–64.1336.88–50.45safer48.88–65.8035.21–52.12
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction489370859safe422–556303–436725–992safer404–575286–454689–1028
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction67.8367.07safe63.80–71.8662.75–71.40safer62.51–73.1561.44–72.71
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2513.1223.37safe7.41–13.0910.18–16.0717.59–29.16safer6.66–13.849.43–16.8216.09–30.66
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.503.26safe0.61–2.930.40–2.591.01–5.52safer0.30–3.230.12–2.880.42–6.11
Yellow cards
27%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.163.67safe0.46–2.561.03–3.291.49–5.84safer0.19–2.820.74–3.580.93–6.40
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
21%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.674.296.96safe1.23–4.102.74–5.853.97–9.95safer0.84–4.492.31–6.273.15–10.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.53 4.66–8.39 4.17–8.88 | 3.92 2.18–5.67 1.72–6.13 | 10.45 6.84–14.06 5.89–15.01 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 18.92 14.99–22.84 13.90–23.93 | 11.01 7.45–14.57 6.49–15.53 | 29.93 22.44–37.42 20.39–39.47 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.97 9.03–14.91 8.20–15.74 | 7.06 4.38–9.74 3.64–10.48 | 19.03 13.41–24.65 11.84–26.22 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.01 3.13–6.89 2.59–7.44 | 2.98 1.32–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 7.99 4.45–11.52 3.42–12.56 | 71% 18% |
| Corners | 6.70 4.49–8.92 3.92–9.49 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.81–6.88 | 11.05 6.84–15.26 5.73–16.37 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.34 50.55–64.13 48.88–65.80 | 43.66 36.88–50.45 35.21–52.12 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 489 422–556 404–575 | 370 303–436 286–454 | 859 725–992 689–1028 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.83 63.80–71.86 62.51–73.15 | 67.07 62.75–71.40 61.44–72.71 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 10.25 7.41–13.09 6.66–13.84 | 13.12 10.18–16.07 9.43–16.82 | 23.37 17.59–29.16 16.09–30.66 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.30–3.23 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.67 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 27% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 4.29 2.74–5.85 2.31–6.27 | 6.96 3.97–9.95 3.15–10.76 | 21% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.