Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.813.26safe0.48–2.420.95–2.661.44–5.08safer0.23–2.670.73–2.890.96–5.56
Shots on target
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.685.6110.29safe2.82–6.543.87–7.356.69–13.90safer2.33–7.033.40–7.825.73–14.85
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5615.1128.67safe9.64–17.4911.54–18.6721.18–36.15safer8.55–18.5810.58–19.6319.13–38.20
Shots in box
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3810.3818.77safe5.44–11.337.70–13.0713.14–24.39safer4.61–12.166.97–13.8011.58–25.96
Blocked shots
31%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.674.588.25safe1.79–5.552.93–6.234.72–11.79safer1.25–6.102.43–6.723.68–12.82
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.935.4610.39safe2.71–7.143.46–7.466.17–14.60safer2.14–7.712.93–7.995.06–15.71
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.8252.97safe41.03–54.6146.19–59.76safer39.36–56.2844.52–61.43
Passes
39%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction412447859safe345–480380–513725–993safer327–498363–531690–1028
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction63.5071.97safe59.48–67.5367.65–76.30safer58.18–68.8366.34–77.61
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2711.3123.58safe9.44–15.118.36–14.2517.80–29.36safer8.68–15.877.61–15.0016.29–30.87
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.663.30safe0.48–2.800.56–2.751.04–5.55safer0.18–3.100.28–3.040.45–6.14
Yellow cards
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.563.27safe0.67–2.760.43–2.691.09–5.45safer0.40–3.030.14–2.980.54–6.01
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
58%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.912.896.80safe2.47–5.351.33–4.443.80–9.79safer2.09–5.730.91–4.872.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.81 0.95–2.66 0.73–2.89 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.82–6.54 2.33–7.03 | 5.61 3.87–7.35 3.40–7.82 | 10.29 6.69–13.90 5.73–14.85 | 33% 55% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.64–17.49 8.55–18.58 | 15.11 11.54–18.67 10.58–19.63 | 28.67 21.18–36.15 19.13–38.20 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.38 5.44–11.33 4.61–12.16 | 10.38 7.70–13.07 6.97–13.80 | 18.77 13.14–24.39 11.58–25.96 | 28% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.25–6.10 | 4.58 2.93–6.23 2.43–6.72 | 8.25 4.72–11.79 3.68–12.82 | 31% 13% 55% |
| Corners | 4.93 2.71–7.14 2.14–7.71 | 5.46 3.46–7.46 2.93–7.99 | 10.39 6.17–14.60 5.06–15.71 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 47.82 41.03–54.61 39.36–56.28 | 52.97 46.19–59.76 44.52–61.43 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 412 345–480 327–498 | 447 380–513 363–531 | 859 725–993 690–1028 | 39% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.50 59.48–67.53 58.18–68.83 | 71.97 67.65–76.30 66.34–77.61 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.27 9.44–15.11 8.68–15.87 | 11.31 8.36–14.25 7.61–15.00 | 23.58 17.80–29.36 16.29–30.87 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.66 0.56–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.30 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.67–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.91 2.47–5.35 2.09–5.73 | 2.89 1.33–4.44 0.91–4.87 | 6.80 3.80–9.79 2.99–10.60 | 58% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.