Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.782.91safe0.16–2.100.92–2.631.09–4.73safer0.00–2.350.70–2.860.61–5.21
Shots on target
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.096.1610.24safe2.22–5.954.41–7.906.64–13.85safer1.74–6.443.95–8.365.68–14.80
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2615.8228.07safe8.33–16.1812.25–19.3820.58–35.56safer7.24–17.2711.29–20.3418.53–37.61
Shots in box
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3310.5517.88safe4.39–10.277.87–13.2312.26–23.50safer3.56–11.107.13–13.9710.69–25.07
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.524.057.57safe1.63–5.402.40–5.704.03–11.10safer1.09–5.941.91–6.202.99–12.14
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.815.6410.45safe2.59–7.023.64–7.646.23–14.66safer2.02–7.593.11–8.175.13–15.77
Possession %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction43.6858.02safe36.89–50.4751.24–64.81safer35.22–52.1449.57–66.48
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction381506888safe314–449440–573754–1021safer296–467422–590718–1057
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction63.0475.28safe59.01–67.0770.96–79.61safer57.72–68.3669.65–80.92
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6811.2324.91safe10.84–16.528.28–14.1719.12–30.69safer10.09–17.277.53–14.9217.62–32.19
Offsides
41%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.673.47safe0.64–2.960.58–2.771.22–5.72safer0.34–3.260.29–3.060.63–6.31
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.853.81safe0.91–3.010.72–2.981.63–5.99safer0.65–3.280.43–3.271.08–6.55
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.962.676.63safe2.52–5.391.11–4.233.64–9.62safer2.13–5.780.69–4.652.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.78 0.92–2.63 0.70–2.86 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.09 2.22–5.95 1.74–6.44 | 6.16 4.41–7.90 3.95–8.36 | 10.24 6.64–13.85 5.68–14.80 | 21% 69% |
| Total shots | 12.26 8.33–16.18 7.24–17.27 | 15.82 12.25–19.38 11.29–20.34 | 28.07 20.58–35.56 18.53–37.61 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 7.33 4.39–10.27 3.56–11.10 | 10.55 7.87–13.23 7.13–13.97 | 17.88 12.26–23.50 10.69–25.07 | 19% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.63–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 4.05 2.40–5.70 1.91–6.20 | 7.57 4.03–11.10 2.99–12.14 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.59–7.02 2.02–7.59 | 5.64 3.64–7.64 3.11–8.17 | 10.45 6.23–14.66 5.13–15.77 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 43.68 36.89–50.47 35.22–52.14 | 58.02 51.24–64.81 49.57–66.48 | — | 18% 78% |
| Passes | 381 314–449 296–467 | 506 440–573 422–590 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.04 59.01–67.07 57.72–68.36 | 75.28 70.96–79.61 69.65–80.92 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 13.68 10.84–16.52 10.09–17.27 | 11.23 8.28–14.17 7.53–14.92 | 24.91 19.12–30.69 17.62–32.19 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.06 | 3.47 1.22–5.72 0.63–6.31 | 41% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.96 2.52–5.39 2.13–5.78 | 2.67 1.11–4.23 0.69–4.65 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.82–10.43 | 62% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.