Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.460.863.32safe1.49–3.420.01–1.721.50–5.14safer1.24–3.670.00–1.951.02–5.62
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.833.5910.42safe4.97–8.691.85–5.336.82–14.03safer4.48–9.181.38–5.805.86–14.98
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.739.7829.51safe15.81–23.666.22–13.3422.03–37.00safer14.72–24.755.26–14.3019.98–39.05
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.776.3019.07safe9.83–15.713.62–8.9813.44–24.69safer9.00–16.542.88–9.7211.88–26.26
Blocked shots
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.333.248.57safe3.45–7.211.59–4.905.04–12.11safer2.90–7.761.10–5.394.00–13.14
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.473.7211.19safe5.26–9.681.72–5.726.98–15.41safer4.68–10.261.19–6.265.87–16.51
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.9540.12safe54.16–67.7433.33–46.90safer52.49–69.4131.66–48.57
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction560342903safe493–628276–409769–1037safer475–646258–426734–1072
Pass accuracy %
71%
24%
homeawayprediction72.8467.97safe68.81–76.8763.64–72.29safer67.52–78.1662.33–73.60
Fouls
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1814.3824.55safe7.34–13.0111.43–17.3218.77–30.33safer6.58–13.7710.68–18.0717.27–31.84
Offsides
42%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.633.44safe0.64–2.960.54–2.731.18–5.69safer0.34–3.270.25–3.010.59–6.28
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.163.43safe0.22–2.321.03–3.281.25–5.61safer0.00–2.590.74–3.580.69–6.16
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.514.196.70safe1.08–3.952.63–5.743.71–9.69safer0.69–4.342.21–6.172.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.46 1.49–3.42 1.24–3.67 | 0.86 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 3.32 1.50–5.14 1.02–5.62 | 72% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.83 4.97–8.69 4.48–9.18 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 10.42 6.82–14.03 5.86–14.98 | 80% |
| Total shots | 19.73 15.81–23.66 14.72–24.75 | 9.78 6.22–13.34 5.26–14.30 | 29.51 22.03–37.00 19.98–39.05 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.77 9.83–15.71 9.00–16.54 | 6.30 3.62–8.98 2.88–9.72 | 19.07 13.44–24.69 11.88–26.26 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.33 3.45–7.21 2.90–7.76 | 3.24 1.59–4.90 1.10–5.39 | 8.57 5.04–12.11 4.00–13.14 | 71% 19% |
| Corners | 7.47 5.26–9.68 4.68–10.26 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.19–6.26 | 11.19 6.98–15.41 5.87–16.51 | 84% |
| Possession % | 60.95 54.16–67.74 52.49–69.41 | 40.12 33.33–46.90 31.66–48.57 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 560 493–628 475–646 | 342 276–409 258–426 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.84 68.81–76.87 67.52–78.16 | 67.97 63.64–72.29 62.33–73.60 | — | 71% 24% |
| Fouls | 10.18 7.34–13.01 6.58–13.77 | 14.38 11.43–17.32 10.68–18.07 | 24.55 18.77–30.33 17.27–31.84 | 17% 77% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.27 | 1.63 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.01 | 3.44 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 42% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.32 0.00–2.59 | 2.16 1.03–3.28 0.74–3.58 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.69–6.16 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 4.19 2.63–5.74 2.21–6.17 | 6.70 3.71–9.69 2.90–10.51 | 20% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.