Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.113.15safe1.08–3.010.25–1.961.33–4.97safer0.83–3.270.02–2.190.85–5.45
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.124.0810.20safe4.26–7.982.34–5.826.60–13.81safer3.77–8.471.87–6.295.64–14.76
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7911.4928.28safe12.86–20.717.93–15.0520.79–35.77safer11.77–21.806.97–16.0118.74–37.82
Shots in box
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.597.8819.47safe8.65–14.535.20–10.5613.85–25.09safer7.82–15.364.46–11.3012.28–26.66
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.903.398.29safe3.02–6.781.73–5.044.75–11.82safer2.48–7.331.24–5.533.72–12.86
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.444.0510.49safe4.22–8.652.05–6.056.28–14.70safer3.65–9.221.52–6.595.17–15.81
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.2943.74safe49.50–63.0836.95–50.52safer47.83–64.7535.28–52.20
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5724311004safe505–640365–498870–1137safer487–658347–515834–1173
Pass accuracy %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction77.0474.47safe73.01–81.0770.14–78.79safer71.72–82.3668.83–80.10
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1410.7820.92safe7.30–12.987.84–13.7315.14–26.70safer6.54–13.737.09–14.4813.63–28.21
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.573.46safe0.73–3.050.47–2.661.21–5.71safer0.43–3.350.18–2.950.62–6.30
Yellow cards
27%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.043.50safe0.40–2.500.92–3.171.32–5.68safer0.14–2.770.62–3.460.76–6.23
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.936.85safe1.49–4.362.37–5.483.86–9.84safer1.10–4.751.94–5.913.05–10.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.01 0.83–3.27 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.12 4.26–7.98 3.77–8.47 | 4.08 2.34–5.82 1.87–6.29 | 10.20 6.60–13.81 5.64–14.76 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.79 12.86–20.71 11.77–21.80 | 11.49 7.93–15.05 6.97–16.01 | 28.28 20.79–35.77 18.74–37.82 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.59 8.65–14.53 7.82–15.36 | 7.88 5.20–10.56 4.46–11.30 | 19.47 13.85–25.09 12.28–26.66 | 77% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.90 3.02–6.78 2.48–7.33 | 3.39 1.73–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 8.29 4.75–11.82 3.72–12.86 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.44 4.22–8.65 3.65–9.22 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.52–6.59 | 10.49 6.28–14.70 5.17–15.81 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 56.29 49.50–63.08 47.83–64.75 | 43.74 36.95–50.52 35.28–52.20 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 572 505–640 487–658 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 1004 870–1137 834–1173 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.04 73.01–81.07 71.72–82.36 | 74.47 70.14–78.79 68.83–80.10 | — | 61% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.14 7.30–12.98 6.54–13.73 | 10.78 7.84–13.73 7.09–14.48 | 20.92 15.14–26.70 13.63–28.21 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.57 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.95 | 3.46 1.21–5.71 0.62–6.30 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 2.04 0.92–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.76–6.23 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.93 2.37–5.48 1.94–5.91 | 6.85 3.86–9.84 3.05–10.66 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.