Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.833.15safe0.35–2.290.97–2.681.33–4.97safer0.10–2.540.74–2.910.85–5.45
Shots on target
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.945.5610.50safe3.08–6.813.82–7.306.90–14.11safer2.59–7.303.35–7.775.94–15.07
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8714.7829.65safe10.95–18.7911.22–18.3422.16–37.14safer9.85–19.8910.26–19.3020.11–39.19
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7410.2720.01safe6.79–12.687.59–12.9514.38–25.63safer5.97–13.516.85–13.6912.82–27.20
Blocked shots
41%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.364.558.91safe2.48–6.252.90–6.205.38–12.45safer1.94–6.792.40–6.694.34–13.48
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.905.5610.45safe2.68–7.113.56–7.566.24–14.67safer2.11–7.683.02–8.095.13–15.77
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.1954.07safe38.40–51.9847.28–60.85safer36.73–53.6545.61–62.52
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction444528971safe376–511461–594838–1105safer358–529444–612802–1141
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction72.1779.76safe68.14–76.2075.44–84.08safer66.85–77.4974.13–85.39
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0410.3920.42safe7.20–12.877.44–13.3314.64–26.20safer6.44–13.636.69–14.0813.13–27.71
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.703.41safe0.55–2.870.61–2.791.15–5.66safer0.25–3.170.32–3.080.56–6.25
Yellow cards
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.423.01safe0.54–2.630.29–2.550.83–5.18safer0.27–2.900.00–2.840.27–5.74
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.126.91safe2.36–5.231.56–4.683.92–9.90safer1.97–5.621.14–5.103.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.83 0.97–2.68 0.74–2.91 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.08–6.81 2.59–7.30 | 5.56 3.82–7.30 3.35–7.77 | 10.50 6.90–14.11 5.94–15.07 | 36% 51% |
| Total shots | 14.87 10.95–18.79 9.85–19.89 | 14.78 11.22–18.34 10.26–19.30 | 29.65 22.16–37.14 20.11–39.19 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.74 6.79–12.68 5.97–13.51 | 10.27 7.59–12.95 6.85–13.69 | 20.01 14.38–25.63 12.82–27.20 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.25 1.94–6.79 | 4.55 2.90–6.20 2.40–6.69 | 8.91 5.38–12.45 4.34–13.48 | 41% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 4.90 2.68–7.11 2.11–7.68 | 5.56 3.56–7.56 3.02–8.09 | 10.45 6.24–14.67 5.13–15.77 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 45.19 38.40–51.98 36.73–53.65 | 54.07 47.28–60.85 45.61–62.52 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 444 376–511 358–529 | 528 461–594 444–612 | 971 838–1105 802–1141 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.17 68.14–76.20 66.85–77.49 | 79.76 75.44–84.08 74.13–85.39 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 10.04 7.20–12.87 6.44–13.63 | 10.39 7.44–13.33 6.69–14.08 | 20.42 14.64–26.20 13.13–27.71 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.42 0.29–2.55 0.00–2.84 | 3.01 0.83–5.18 0.27–5.74 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.79 2.36–5.23 1.97–5.62 | 3.12 1.56–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 6.91 3.92–9.90 3.11–10.72 | 52% 15% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.