Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.193.04safe0.88–2.820.34–2.041.22–4.86safer0.63–3.070.11–2.270.74–5.34
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.623.819.42safe3.75–7.482.06–5.555.82–13.03safer3.26–7.971.60–6.014.86–13.98
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2110.7827.99safe13.29–21.147.22–14.3420.51–35.48safer12.20–22.236.26–15.3018.46–37.53
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction11.017.5418.55safe8.07–13.954.86–10.2312.93–24.18safer7.24–14.784.13–10.9611.36–25.74
Blocked shots
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.873.087.94safe2.98–6.751.43–4.734.41–11.48safer2.44–7.290.93–5.223.37–12.52
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.2310.06safe3.62–8.052.23–6.235.85–14.28safer3.05–8.621.70–6.764.74–15.38
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.1344.61safe49.34–62.9337.82–51.39safer47.67–64.5936.15–53.06
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction530406936safe463–597339–472802–1069safer445–615322–490766–1105
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction70.5668.43safe66.53–74.5964.11–72.75safer65.24–75.8862.80–74.06
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8810.0020.87safe8.04–13.717.05–12.9415.09–26.65safer7.28–14.476.30–13.6913.58–28.16
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.823.58safe0.60–2.920.73–2.921.33–5.84safer0.30–3.220.44–3.200.74–6.43
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.843.26safe0.38–2.470.71–2.971.08–5.44safer0.11–2.740.42–3.260.53–6.00
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.836.47safe1.21–4.082.27–5.383.48–9.46safer0.82–4.471.84–5.812.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.88–2.82 0.63–3.07 | 1.19 0.34–2.04 0.11–2.27 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.62 3.75–7.48 3.26–7.97 | 3.81 2.06–5.55 1.60–6.01 | 9.42 5.82–13.03 4.86–13.98 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 17.21 13.29–21.14 12.20–22.23 | 10.78 7.22–14.34 6.26–15.30 | 27.99 20.51–35.48 18.46–37.53 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.01 8.07–13.95 7.24–14.78 | 7.54 4.86–10.23 4.13–10.96 | 18.55 12.93–24.18 11.36–25.74 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.87 2.98–6.75 2.44–7.29 | 3.08 1.43–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 7.94 4.41–11.48 3.37–12.52 | 68% 21% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.62–8.05 3.05–8.62 | 4.23 2.23–6.23 1.70–6.76 | 10.06 5.85–14.28 4.74–15.38 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 56.13 49.34–62.93 47.67–64.59 | 44.61 37.82–51.39 36.15–53.06 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 530 463–597 445–615 | 406 339–472 322–490 | 936 802–1069 766–1105 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.56 66.53–74.59 65.24–75.88 | 68.43 64.11–72.75 62.80–74.06 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 10.88 8.04–13.71 7.28–14.47 | 10.00 7.05–12.94 6.30–13.69 | 20.87 15.09–26.65 13.58–28.16 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.20 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.83 2.27–5.38 1.84–5.81 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.67–10.28 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.