Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.672.96safe0.33–2.260.81–2.521.14–4.79safer0.08–2.510.59–2.750.66–5.27
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.445.189.62safe2.58–6.303.44–6.936.02–13.23safer2.09–6.792.97–7.395.06–14.18
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0014.1128.10safe10.07–17.9210.54–17.6720.62–35.59safer8.98–19.019.59–18.6318.57–37.64
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.079.5218.59safe6.12–12.016.84–12.2012.96–24.21safer5.29–12.846.10–12.9411.40–25.78
Blocked shots
32%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.894.718.60safe2.01–5.773.06–6.375.07–12.14safer1.47–6.322.57–6.864.03–13.17
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.274.8410.12safe3.06–7.492.84–6.845.90–14.33safer2.49–8.062.31–7.384.80–15.44
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.2954.72safe39.50–53.0847.94–61.51safer37.83–54.7546.27–63.18
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction447501948safe380–515434–567814–1082safer362–533417–585779–1117
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction66.7674.82safe62.73–70.7970.49–79.14safer61.44–72.0869.18–80.45
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4511.1820.64safe6.62–12.298.24–14.1314.85–26.42safer5.86–13.057.49–14.8813.35–27.92
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.763.57safe0.64–2.960.67–2.861.31–5.82safer0.34–3.260.38–3.140.72–6.41
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.593.10safe0.46–2.560.46–2.720.92–5.28safer0.19–2.820.17–3.010.36–5.84
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
47%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.212.866.06safe1.77–4.641.30–4.413.07–9.05safer1.38–5.030.88–4.842.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.33–2.26 0.08–2.51 | 1.67 0.81–2.52 0.59–2.75 | 2.96 1.14–4.79 0.66–5.27 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.44 2.58–6.30 2.09–6.79 | 5.18 3.44–6.93 2.97–7.39 | 9.62 6.02–13.23 5.06–14.18 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 14.00 10.07–17.92 8.98–19.01 | 14.11 10.54–17.67 9.59–18.63 | 28.10 20.62–35.59 18.57–37.64 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.12–12.01 5.29–12.84 | 9.52 6.84–12.20 6.10–12.94 | 18.59 12.96–24.21 11.40–25.78 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.77 1.47–6.32 | 4.71 3.06–6.37 2.57–6.86 | 8.60 5.07–12.14 4.03–13.17 | 32% 13% 54% |
| Corners | 5.27 3.06–7.49 2.49–8.06 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.38 | 10.12 5.90–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 46.29 39.50–53.08 37.83–54.75 | 54.72 47.94–61.51 46.27–63.18 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 447 380–515 362–533 | 501 434–567 417–585 | 948 814–1082 779–1117 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.76 62.73–70.79 61.44–72.08 | 74.82 70.49–79.14 69.18–80.45 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 9.45 6.62–12.29 5.86–13.05 | 11.18 8.24–14.13 7.49–14.88 | 20.64 14.85–26.42 13.35–27.92 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.14 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.10 0.92–5.28 0.36–5.84 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 2.86 1.30–4.41 0.88–4.84 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 47% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+