Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.282.64safe0.39–2.320.43–2.140.81–4.46safer0.13–2.570.20–2.370.33–4.94
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.178.38safe2.35–6.082.42–5.914.77–11.98safer1.86–6.561.96–6.383.82–12.94
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0711.8523.92safe8.15–16.008.28–15.4116.43–31.41safer7.06–17.097.32–16.3714.38–33.46
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.297.5615.85safe5.35–11.234.88–10.2410.23–21.47safer4.52–12.064.14–10.988.66–23.04
Blocked shots
35%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.123.586.70safe1.24–5.001.93–5.243.17–10.24safer0.69–5.541.44–5.732.13–11.27
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.774.519.28safe2.56–6.982.51–6.515.07–13.50safer1.98–7.561.98–7.043.96–14.60
Possession %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction44.0457.78safe37.25–50.8351.00–64.57safer35.58–52.5049.33–66.24
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction412510922safe345–479444–577788–1056safer327–497426–594753–1091
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction60.9074.08safe56.87–64.9369.76–78.40safer55.58–66.2268.45–79.71
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7312.4224.14safe8.89–14.569.47–15.3618.36–29.93safer8.13–15.328.73–16.1116.86–31.43
Offsides
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.441.354.80safe2.28–4.600.26–2.452.54–7.05safer1.98–4.900.00–2.731.95–7.64
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.224.12safe0.85–2.951.09–3.351.94–6.29safer0.58–3.210.80–3.641.38–6.85
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.935.69safe1.33–4.201.37–4.482.70–8.68safer0.94–4.590.95–4.911.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.64 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.56 | 4.17 2.42–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 8.38 4.77–11.98 3.82–12.94 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.07 8.15–16.00 7.06–17.09 | 11.85 8.28–15.41 7.32–16.37 | 23.92 16.43–31.41 14.38–33.46 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.29 5.35–11.23 4.52–12.06 | 7.56 4.88–10.24 4.14–10.98 | 15.85 10.23–21.47 8.66–23.04 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.24–5.00 0.69–5.54 | 3.58 1.93–5.24 1.44–5.73 | 6.70 3.17–10.24 2.13–11.27 | 35% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.77 2.56–6.98 1.98–7.56 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 9.28 5.07–13.50 3.96–14.60 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 44.04 37.25–50.83 35.58–52.50 | 57.78 51.00–64.57 49.33–66.24 | — | 19% 77% |
| Passes | 412 345–479 327–497 | 510 444–577 426–594 | 922 788–1056 753–1091 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.90 56.87–64.93 55.58–66.22 | 74.08 69.76–78.40 68.45–79.71 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.89–14.56 8.13–15.32 | 12.42 9.47–15.36 8.73–16.11 | 24.14 18.36–29.93 16.86–31.43 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 3.44 2.28–4.60 1.98–4.90 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.73 | 4.80 2.54–7.05 1.95–7.64 | 77% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.12 1.94–6.29 1.38–6.85 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 2.93 1.37–4.48 0.95–4.91 | 5.69 2.70–8.68 1.88–9.49 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.