Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.122.65safe0.56–2.490.27–1.980.83–4.47safer0.30–2.740.04–2.210.35–4.95
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.628.25safe2.78–6.501.87–5.364.65–11.86safer2.29–6.991.41–5.823.69–12.81
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3910.0823.48safe9.47–17.326.52–13.6515.99–30.96safer8.38–18.415.56–14.6113.94–33.02
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.457.3115.76safe5.51–11.394.63–9.9910.14–21.38safer4.68–12.223.89–10.738.57–22.95
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.282.777.04safe2.39–6.161.11–4.423.51–10.58safer1.85–6.700.62–4.912.47–11.61
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.803.889.67safe3.58–8.011.88–5.885.46–13.88safer3.01–8.581.34–6.414.35–14.99
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.3541.77safe50.56–64.1434.98–48.55safer48.89–65.8133.31–50.22
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction542380922safe475–609313–446788–1056safer457–628296–464753–1092
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction70.1466.93safe66.11–74.1762.60–71.25safer64.82–75.4661.29–72.56
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5211.8023.32safe8.68–14.368.85–14.7417.54–29.10safer7.92–15.118.11–15.4916.03–30.60
Offsides
76%
homeawaytotalprediction1.353.394.74safe0.19–2.512.30–4.482.49–6.99safer0.00–2.812.01–4.771.90–7.58
Yellow cards
35%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.134.00safe0.82–2.921.00–3.261.82–6.18safer0.56–3.190.71–3.551.26–6.73
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.432.935.36safe1.00–3.871.37–4.482.37–8.35safer0.61–4.260.95–4.911.55–9.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.56–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 46% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.78–6.50 2.29–6.99 | 3.62 1.87–5.36 1.41–5.82 | 8.25 4.65–11.86 3.69–12.81 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 13.39 9.47–17.32 8.38–18.41 | 10.08 6.52–13.65 5.56–14.61 | 23.48 15.99–30.96 13.94–33.02 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 8.45 5.51–11.39 4.68–12.22 | 7.31 4.63–9.99 3.89–10.73 | 15.76 10.14–21.38 8.57–22.95 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.39–6.16 1.85–6.70 | 2.77 1.11–4.42 0.62–4.91 | 7.04 3.51–10.58 2.47–11.61 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 5.80 3.58–8.01 3.01–8.58 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.34–6.41 | 9.67 5.46–13.88 4.35–14.99 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 57.35 50.56–64.14 48.89–65.81 | 41.77 34.98–48.55 33.31–50.22 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 542 475–609 457–628 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 922 788–1056 753–1092 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.14 66.11–74.17 64.82–75.46 | 66.93 62.60–71.25 61.29–72.56 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.52 8.68–14.36 7.92–15.11 | 11.80 8.85–14.74 8.11–15.49 | 23.32 17.54–29.10 16.03–30.60 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 3.39 2.30–4.48 2.01–4.77 | 4.74 2.49–6.99 1.90–7.58 | 76% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.26–6.73 | 35% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 2.93 1.37–4.48 0.95–4.91 | 5.36 2.37–8.35 1.55–9.16 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.