Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.292.55safe0.29–2.230.44–2.140.73–4.37safer0.04–2.480.21–2.370.25–4.85
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.038.42safe2.53–6.262.28–5.774.82–12.03safer2.04–6.751.82–6.233.86–12.98
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7611.7725.52safe9.83–17.688.21–15.3318.04–33.01safer8.74–18.777.25–16.2915.99–35.06
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.668.0716.73safe5.72–11.605.39–10.7511.11–22.36safer4.89–12.434.65–11.499.54–23.92
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.736.52safe1.91–5.671.08–4.392.99–10.06safer1.36–6.220.59–4.881.95–11.09
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.9110.19safe3.07–7.502.91–6.915.98–14.41safer2.50–8.082.37–7.444.87–15.52
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.5748.37safe45.78–59.3641.58–55.15safer44.11–61.0339.91–56.82
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction442386828safe375–510319–452695–962safer357–528302–470659–998
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction64.0766.99safe60.04–68.1062.67–71.32safer58.75–69.3961.36–72.63
Fouls
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4013.1127.51safe11.56–17.2410.16–16.0521.73–33.29safer10.81–17.999.42–16.8020.22–34.80
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.843.50safe0.50–2.820.75–2.931.25–5.75safer0.20–3.120.46–3.220.66–6.34
Yellow cards
41%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.214.48safe1.22–3.321.08–3.342.30–6.65safer0.95–3.580.79–3.631.74–7.21
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.722.955.68safe1.29–4.161.40–4.512.69–8.67safer0.90–4.550.97–4.931.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.29 0.44–2.14 0.21–2.37 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.53–6.26 2.04–6.75 | 4.03 2.28–5.77 1.82–6.23 | 8.42 4.82–12.03 3.86–12.98 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.76 9.83–17.68 8.74–18.77 | 11.77 8.21–15.33 7.25–16.29 | 25.52 18.04–33.01 15.99–35.06 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.66 5.72–11.60 4.89–12.43 | 8.07 5.39–10.75 4.65–11.49 | 16.73 11.11–22.36 9.54–23.92 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.22 | 2.73 1.08–4.39 0.59–4.88 | 6.52 2.99–10.06 1.95–11.09 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.08 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.37–7.44 | 10.19 5.98–14.41 4.87–15.52 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 52.57 45.78–59.36 44.11–61.03 | 48.37 41.58–55.15 39.91–56.82 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 442 375–510 357–528 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 828 695–962 659–998 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.07 60.04–68.10 58.75–69.39 | 66.99 62.67–71.32 61.36–72.63 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 14.40 11.56–17.24 10.81–17.99 | 13.11 10.16–16.05 9.42–16.80 | 27.51 21.73–33.29 20.22–34.80 | 56% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.84 0.75–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.95–3.58 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.48 2.30–6.65 1.74–7.21 | 41% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 5.68 2.69–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.