Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.072.54safe0.50–2.430.22–1.930.72–4.36safer0.25–2.680.00–2.160.24–4.84
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.538.36safe2.97–6.691.79–5.274.76–11.97safer2.48–7.181.32–5.743.80–12.92
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9711.1825.15safe10.04–17.897.62–14.7417.66–32.63safer8.95–18.986.66–15.7015.61–34.68
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.896.8916.78safe6.95–12.834.21–9.5711.16–22.41safer6.12–13.663.47–10.319.59–23.97
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.437.16safe1.85–5.621.77–5.083.63–10.70safer1.31–6.161.28–5.572.59–11.73
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.144.2210.36safe3.93–8.352.22–6.226.15–14.58safer3.35–8.931.69–6.765.04–15.68
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.2049.26safe44.41–57.9942.47–56.04safer42.74–59.6640.80–57.71
Passes
63%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction453412864safe385–520345–478731–998safer367–538328–496695–1034
Pass accuracy %
25%
70%
homeawayprediction64.6869.33safe60.65–68.7165.01–73.66safer59.36–70.0063.70–74.97
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5613.5426.10safe9.72–15.4010.59–16.4820.31–31.88safer8.97–16.159.84–17.2318.81–33.38
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.513.45safe0.78–3.100.42–2.601.20–5.70safer0.48–3.400.13–2.890.61–6.29
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.063.70safe0.59–2.690.93–3.191.52–5.88safer0.32–2.950.64–3.480.97–6.44
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.145.71safe1.14–4.011.58–4.702.72–8.70safer0.75–4.401.16–5.121.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.50–2.43 0.25–2.68 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 3.53 1.79–5.27 1.32–5.74 | 8.36 4.76–11.97 3.80–12.92 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 13.97 10.04–17.89 8.95–18.98 | 11.18 7.62–14.74 6.66–15.70 | 25.15 17.66–32.63 15.61–34.68 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.89 6.95–12.83 6.12–13.66 | 6.89 4.21–9.57 3.47–10.31 | 16.78 11.16–22.41 9.59–23.97 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.62 1.31–6.16 | 3.43 1.77–5.08 1.28–5.57 | 7.16 3.63–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 6.14 3.93–8.35 3.35–8.93 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.76 | 10.36 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.68 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 51.20 44.41–57.99 42.74–59.66 | 49.26 42.47–56.04 40.80–57.71 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 453 385–520 367–538 | 412 345–478 328–496 | 864 731–998 695–1034 | 63% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.68 60.65–68.71 59.36–70.00 | 69.33 65.01–73.66 63.70–74.97 | — | 25% 70% |
| Fouls | 12.56 9.72–15.40 8.97–16.15 | 13.54 10.59–16.48 9.84–17.23 | 26.10 20.31–31.88 18.81–33.38 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.45 1.20–5.70 0.61–6.29 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 5.71 2.72–8.70 1.91–9.52 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.