Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.082.75safe0.70–2.640.23–1.930.92–4.57safer0.45–2.890.00–2.160.45–5.05
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.063.648.70safe3.20–6.921.90–5.395.10–12.31safer2.71–7.411.44–5.854.14–13.26
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0511.0627.12safe12.13–19.987.50–14.6319.63–34.60safer11.04–21.076.54–15.5917.58–36.65
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.637.4518.08safe7.69–13.574.77–10.1312.46–23.70safer6.86–14.404.03–10.8710.89–25.27
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.487.89safe2.53–6.291.82–5.134.35–11.42safer1.99–6.841.33–5.623.32–12.46
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.834.3710.20safe3.62–8.052.37–6.375.99–14.42safer3.05–8.621.84–6.904.88–15.52
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction48.9351.17safe42.14–55.7244.39–57.96safer40.47–57.3942.71–59.63
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction426442868safe359–494375–508735–1002safer341–512358–526699–1038
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction62.0069.89safe57.97–66.0365.57–74.22safer56.67–67.3264.26–75.53
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6511.2923.94safe9.82–15.498.34–14.2318.16–29.72safer9.06–16.257.59–14.9816.66–31.23
Offsides
27%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.464.22safe0.60–2.921.37–3.551.97–6.47safer0.30–3.221.08–3.841.38–7.06
Yellow cards
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.773.82safe1.00–3.100.64–2.891.64–6.00safer0.74–3.370.35–3.191.08–6.55
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.415.83safe0.98–3.851.86–4.972.84–8.82safer0.59–4.241.43–5.392.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.08 0.23–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.75 0.92–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.20–6.92 2.71–7.41 | 3.64 1.90–5.39 1.44–5.85 | 8.70 5.10–12.31 4.14–13.26 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 16.05 12.13–19.98 11.04–21.07 | 11.06 7.50–14.63 6.54–15.59 | 27.12 19.63–34.60 17.58–36.65 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.63 7.69–13.57 6.86–14.40 | 7.45 4.77–10.13 4.03–10.87 | 18.08 12.46–23.70 10.89–25.27 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.29 1.99–6.84 | 3.48 1.82–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 7.89 4.35–11.42 3.32–12.46 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.62–8.05 3.05–8.62 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.84–6.90 | 10.20 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.52 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 48.93 42.14–55.72 40.47–57.39 | 51.17 44.39–57.96 42.71–59.63 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 426 359–494 341–512 | 442 375–508 358–526 | 868 735–1002 699–1038 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.00 57.97–66.03 56.67–67.32 | 69.89 65.57–74.22 64.26–75.53 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 12.65 9.82–15.49 9.06–16.25 | 11.29 8.34–14.23 7.59–14.98 | 23.94 18.16–29.72 16.66–31.23 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 2.46 1.37–3.55 1.08–3.84 | 4.22 1.97–6.47 1.38–7.06 | 27% 19% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 1.77 0.64–2.89 0.35–3.19 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.08–6.55 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.02–9.63 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.