Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.412.78safe0.41–2.340.55–2.260.96–4.60safer0.16–2.600.32–2.490.48–5.08
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.374.518.89safe2.51–6.242.77–6.255.28–12.49safer2.02–6.732.30–6.724.32–13.45
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7012.6025.30safe8.78–16.639.04–16.1717.82–32.79safer7.69–17.728.08–17.1215.77–34.84
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.278.8917.17safe5.33–11.226.21–11.5711.54–22.79safer4.50–12.055.47–12.319.98–24.36
Blocked shots
40%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.556.97safe1.53–5.301.90–5.213.43–10.50safer0.99–5.841.41–5.702.40–11.54
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.215.0510.26safe3.00–7.433.05–7.056.05–14.47safer2.43–8.002.51–7.584.94–15.58
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.6147.36safe45.82–59.4040.58–54.15safer44.15–61.0738.91–55.82
Passes
66%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction463413876safe396–531346–479742–1010safer378–549329–497707–1045
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction64.5067.66safe60.47–68.5363.33–71.98safer59.18–69.8262.02–73.29
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5412.9823.52safe7.70–13.3810.04–15.9317.74–29.30safer6.94–14.139.29–16.6816.24–30.81
Offsides
54%
19%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.471.774.24safe1.31–3.630.67–2.861.99–6.50safer1.01–3.930.39–3.151.40–7.08
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.424.06safe0.59–2.691.29–3.551.88–6.23safer0.32–2.951.00–3.841.32–6.79
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.882.955.84safe1.45–4.321.40–4.512.84–8.83safer1.06–4.710.97–4.932.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.34 0.16–2.60 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.51–6.24 2.02–6.73 | 4.51 2.77–6.25 2.30–6.72 | 8.89 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.45 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 12.70 8.78–16.63 7.69–17.72 | 12.60 9.04–16.17 8.08–17.12 | 25.30 17.82–32.79 15.77–34.84 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.27 5.33–11.22 4.50–12.05 | 8.89 6.21–11.57 5.47–12.31 | 17.17 11.54–22.79 9.98–24.36 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.53–5.30 0.99–5.84 | 3.55 1.90–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 6.97 3.43–10.50 2.40–11.54 | 40% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.21 3.00–7.43 2.43–8.00 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.51–7.58 | 10.26 6.05–14.47 4.94–15.58 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 52.61 45.82–59.40 44.15–61.07 | 47.36 40.58–54.15 38.91–55.82 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 463 396–531 378–549 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 876 742–1010 707–1045 | 66% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.50 60.47–68.53 59.18–69.82 | 67.66 63.33–71.98 62.02–73.29 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 10.54 7.70–13.38 6.94–14.13 | 12.98 10.04–15.93 9.29–16.68 | 23.52 17.74–29.30 16.24–30.81 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.47 1.31–3.63 1.01–3.93 | 1.77 0.67–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 4.24 1.99–6.50 1.40–7.08 | 54% 19% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 2.42 1.29–3.55 1.00–3.84 | 4.06 1.88–6.23 1.32–6.79 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 5.84 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+