Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.562.57safe0.05–1.980.70–2.410.75–4.40safer0.00–2.230.48–2.640.27–4.88
Shots on target
29%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.684.738.41safe1.81–5.542.99–6.474.80–12.01safer1.32–6.032.52–6.943.85–12.97
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3413.5724.91safe7.42–15.2710.01–17.1317.43–32.40safer6.33–16.369.05–18.0915.37–34.45
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction6.718.8215.53safe3.77–9.656.14–11.509.91–21.15safer2.94–10.485.40–12.248.34–22.72
Blocked shots
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.496.60safe1.23–4.991.84–5.143.06–10.13safer0.68–5.531.34–5.632.03–11.17
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.165.709.86safe1.94–6.373.70–7.705.65–14.07safer1.37–6.953.17–8.244.54–15.18
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.2258.02safe35.43–49.0151.23–64.80safer33.76–50.6849.56–66.48
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction386482868safe318–453416–549734–1002safer300–471398–566699–1037
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction60.1872.00safe56.15–64.2167.68–76.32safer54.85–65.5066.37–77.63
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4211.1324.55safe10.58–16.258.18–14.0718.76–30.33safer9.82–17.017.44–14.8217.26–31.83
Offsides
39%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.094.16safe0.90–3.231.00–3.191.91–6.41safer0.60–3.530.71–3.481.32–7.00
Yellow cards
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.804.07safe1.22–3.320.67–2.931.89–6.24safer0.95–3.580.38–3.221.33–6.80
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
51%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.202.615.81safe1.77–4.641.05–4.172.82–8.80safer1.38–5.030.63–4.592.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.05–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.56 0.70–2.41 0.48–2.64 | 2.57 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 25% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.68 1.81–5.54 1.32–6.03 | 4.73 2.99–6.47 2.52–6.94 | 8.41 4.80–12.01 3.85–12.97 | 29% 13% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.34 7.42–15.27 6.33–16.36 | 13.57 10.01–17.13 9.05–18.09 | 24.91 17.43–32.40 15.37–34.45 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 6.71 3.77–9.65 2.94–10.48 | 8.82 6.14–11.50 5.40–12.24 | 15.53 9.91–21.15 8.34–22.72 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 3.49 1.84–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 6.60 3.06–10.13 2.03–11.17 | 36% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.16 1.94–6.37 1.37–6.95 | 5.70 3.70–7.70 3.17–8.24 | 9.86 5.65–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 42.22 35.43–49.01 33.76–50.68 | 58.02 51.23–64.80 49.56–66.48 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 386 318–453 300–471 | 482 416–549 398–566 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.18 56.15–64.21 54.85–65.50 | 72.00 67.68–76.32 66.37–77.63 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 13.42 10.58–16.25 9.82–17.01 | 11.13 8.18–14.07 7.44–14.82 | 24.55 18.76–30.33 17.26–31.83 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.90–3.23 0.60–3.53 | 2.09 1.00–3.19 0.71–3.48 | 4.16 1.91–6.41 1.32–7.00 | 39% 20% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.95–3.58 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 4.07 1.89–6.24 1.33–6.80 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 2.61 1.05–4.17 0.63–4.59 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.01–9.62 | 51% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.