Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.920.882.80safe0.96–2.890.02–1.730.98–4.62safer0.70–3.140.00–1.960.50–5.10
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.603.178.77safe3.74–7.461.43–4.915.16–12.37safer3.25–7.950.96–5.384.21–13.33
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3310.1225.45safe11.41–19.266.56–13.6817.97–32.94safer10.32–20.355.60–14.6415.91–34.99
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.916.6616.57safe6.97–12.853.98–9.3410.95–22.20safer6.14–13.683.24–10.089.38–23.76
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.102.596.70safe2.22–5.990.94–4.253.16–10.23safer1.68–6.530.45–4.742.13–11.27
Corners
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.283.9410.22safe4.06–8.491.94–5.946.01–14.43safer3.49–9.061.41–6.484.90–15.54
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction59.9739.64safe53.18–66.7632.86–46.43safer51.51–68.4331.18–48.10
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction538377915safe471–605311–444782–1049safer452–623293–461746–1085
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction70.0566.54safe66.02–74.0862.22–70.86safer64.73–75.3760.91–72.17
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0313.1823.21safe7.20–12.8710.24–16.1217.43–29.00safer6.44–13.639.49–16.8715.93–30.50
Offsides
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.134.41safe1.12–3.451.04–3.222.16–6.67safer0.82–3.750.75–3.511.57–7.26
Yellow cards
21%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.193.45safe0.22–2.311.06–3.311.27–5.63safer0.00–2.580.77–3.610.71–6.19
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.81
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.475.77safe0.87–3.741.91–5.022.78–8.76safer0.48–4.131.48–5.451.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.96–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 62% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.60 3.74–7.46 3.25–7.95 | 3.17 1.43–4.91 0.96–5.38 | 8.77 5.16–12.37 4.21–13.33 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 15.33 11.41–19.26 10.32–20.35 | 10.12 6.56–13.68 5.60–14.64 | 25.45 17.97–32.94 15.91–34.99 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.91 6.97–12.85 6.14–13.68 | 6.66 3.98–9.34 3.24–10.08 | 16.57 10.95–22.20 9.38–23.76 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 2.59 0.94–4.25 0.45–4.74 | 6.70 3.16–10.23 2.13–11.27 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.28 4.06–8.49 3.49–9.06 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.41–6.48 | 10.22 6.01–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 72% 19% |
| Possession % | 59.97 53.18–66.76 51.51–68.43 | 39.64 32.86–46.43 31.18–48.10 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 538 471–605 452–623 | 377 311–444 293–461 | 915 782–1049 746–1085 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.05 66.02–74.08 64.73–75.37 | 66.54 62.22–70.86 60.91–72.17 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 10.03 7.20–12.87 6.44–13.63 | 13.18 10.24–16.12 9.49–16.87 | 23.21 17.43–29.00 15.93–30.50 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.45 0.82–3.75 | 2.13 1.04–3.22 0.75–3.51 | 4.41 2.16–6.67 1.57–7.26 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.22–2.31 0.00–2.58 | 2.19 1.06–3.31 0.77–3.61 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.71–6.19 | 21% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 3.47 1.91–5.02 1.48–5.45 | 5.77 2.78–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+