Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
23%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.800.852.65safe0.83–2.760.00–1.700.82–4.47safer0.58–3.010.00–1.930.34–4.95
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.993.139.13safe4.13–7.851.39–4.885.52–12.73safer3.64–8.340.92–5.344.57–13.69
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.589.8926.47safe12.66–20.516.33–13.4618.99–33.96safer11.56–21.605.37–14.4216.94–36.01
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.326.3217.63safe8.37–14.263.64–9.0012.01–23.26safer7.55–15.092.90–9.7310.44–24.82
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.592.817.40safe2.71–6.471.15–4.463.86–10.93safer2.16–7.010.66–4.952.83–11.97
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.633.8010.43safe4.42–8.841.80–5.806.21–14.64safer3.84–9.421.27–6.335.11–15.75
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction59.6740.00safe52.88–66.4633.22–46.79safer51.21–68.1331.55–48.46
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction550346896safe483–617280–413763–1030safer465–635262–430727–1066
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction67.6862.33safe63.65–71.7158.01–66.66safer62.36–73.0156.70–67.97
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2212.5423.77safe8.39–14.069.60–15.4917.98–29.55safer7.63–14.828.85–16.2416.48–31.05
Offsides
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.272.80safe0.37–2.690.18–2.370.55–5.05safer0.06–2.990.00–2.660.00–5.64
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.273.70safe0.38–2.481.14–3.401.52–5.88safer0.12–2.750.85–3.690.96–6.44
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.846.05safe0.78–3.652.28–5.393.06–9.05safer0.39–4.041.86–5.822.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.83–2.76 0.58–3.01 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 2.65 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 60% 23% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.99 4.13–7.85 3.64–8.34 | 3.13 1.39–4.88 0.92–5.34 | 9.13 5.52–12.73 4.57–13.69 | 78% |
| Total shots | 16.58 12.66–20.51 11.56–21.60 | 9.89 6.33–13.46 5.37–14.42 | 26.47 18.99–33.96 16.94–36.01 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.32 8.37–14.26 7.55–15.09 | 6.32 3.64–9.00 2.90–9.73 | 17.63 12.01–23.26 10.44–24.82 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 2.81 1.15–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 7.40 3.86–10.93 2.83–11.97 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.63 4.42–8.84 3.84–9.42 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.27–6.33 | 10.43 6.21–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 59.67 52.88–66.46 51.21–68.13 | 40.00 33.22–46.79 31.55–48.46 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 550 483–617 465–635 | 346 280–413 262–430 | 896 763–1030 727–1066 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.68 63.65–71.71 62.36–73.01 | 62.33 58.01–66.66 56.70–67.97 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.39–14.06 7.63–14.82 | 12.54 9.60–15.49 8.85–16.24 | 23.77 17.98–29.55 16.48–31.05 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.06–2.99 | 1.27 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 2.80 0.55–5.05 0.00–5.64 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.96–6.44 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.78–3.65 0.39–4.04 | 3.84 2.28–5.39 1.86–5.82 | 6.05 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+