Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.822.92safe0.13–2.070.97–2.671.10–4.74safer0.00–2.320.74–2.900.62–5.22
Shots on target
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.835.138.96safe1.97–5.693.39–6.875.35–12.56safer1.48–6.182.92–7.344.40–13.52
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7614.4326.19safe7.84–15.6910.86–17.9918.70–33.68safer6.75–16.789.90–18.9516.65–35.73
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction7.019.7416.76safe4.07–9.957.06–12.4211.13–22.38safer3.24–10.786.33–13.169.57–23.95
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.284.307.58safe1.40–5.172.65–5.954.05–11.12safer0.86–5.712.15–6.443.01–12.15
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.685.139.81safe2.47–6.893.13–7.135.59–14.02safer1.89–7.472.59–7.664.49–15.13
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.9758.48safe35.18–48.7651.70–65.27safer33.51–50.4350.03–66.94
Passes
14%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction375502877safe308–443435–568744–1011safer290–461418–586708–1047
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction58.6870.22safe54.65–62.7165.89–74.54safer53.36–64.0064.58–75.85
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8912.5625.45safe10.05–15.729.62–15.5119.66–31.23safer9.29–16.488.87–16.2518.16–32.73
Offsides
36%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.623.13safe0.35–2.670.53–2.720.88–5.39safer0.05–2.970.24–3.000.29–5.98
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.883.79safe0.86–2.960.75–3.011.61–5.97safer0.59–3.220.46–3.301.05–6.52
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.735.92safe1.76–4.631.18–4.292.93–8.92safer1.37–5.010.75–4.712.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.82 0.97–2.67 0.74–2.90 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.83 1.97–5.69 1.48–6.18 | 5.13 3.39–6.87 2.92–7.34 | 8.96 5.35–12.56 4.40–13.52 | 27% 60% |
| Total shots | 11.76 7.84–15.69 6.75–16.78 | 14.43 10.86–17.99 9.90–18.95 | 26.19 18.70–33.68 16.65–35.73 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 7.01 4.07–9.95 3.24–10.78 | 9.74 7.06–12.42 6.33–13.16 | 16.76 11.13–22.38 9.57–23.95 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.28 1.40–5.17 0.86–5.71 | 4.30 2.65–5.95 2.15–6.44 | 7.58 4.05–11.12 3.01–12.15 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.68 2.47–6.89 1.89–7.47 | 5.13 3.13–7.13 2.59–7.66 | 9.81 5.59–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 41.97 35.18–48.76 33.51–50.43 | 58.48 51.70–65.27 50.03–66.94 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 375 308–443 290–461 | 502 435–568 418–586 | 877 744–1011 708–1047 | 14% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 58.68 54.65–62.71 53.36–64.00 | 70.22 65.89–74.54 64.58–75.85 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.89 10.05–15.72 9.29–16.48 | 12.56 9.62–15.51 8.87–16.25 | 25.45 19.66–31.23 18.16–32.73 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.62 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.00 | 3.13 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 36% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.52 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.76–4.63 1.37–5.01 | 2.73 1.18–4.29 0.75–4.71 | 5.92 2.93–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.