Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.870.962.83safe0.90–2.840.10–1.811.01–4.65safer0.65–3.090.00–2.040.53–5.13
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.883.339.21safe4.01–7.741.59–5.075.60–12.81safer3.52–8.231.12–5.544.65–13.77
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1010.0526.15safe12.17–20.026.49–13.6118.66–33.64safer11.08–21.125.53–14.5716.61–35.69
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.386.3316.71safe7.44–13.323.65–9.0111.09–22.34safer6.61–14.152.91–9.759.52–23.90
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.712.877.58safe2.83–6.591.22–4.524.04–11.12safer2.28–7.130.73–5.023.01–12.15
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.9810.21safe4.02–8.451.98–5.986.00–14.43safer3.45–9.021.44–6.514.89–15.53
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction54.4746.33safe47.68–61.2639.55–53.12safer46.01–62.9337.87–54.79
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction506431937safe439–573364–497803–1071safer421–592347–515768–1106
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction68.9569.27safe64.92–72.9864.94–73.59safer63.63–74.2763.63–74.90
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9811.2122.19safe8.14–13.828.27–14.1616.41–27.98safer7.39–14.577.52–14.9114.91–29.48
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.653.39safe0.57–2.890.56–2.751.13–5.64safer0.27–3.200.27–3.030.54–6.23
Yellow cards
28%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.883.25safe0.32–2.420.75–3.011.07–5.43safer0.06–2.690.46–3.300.51–5.98
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.384.006.38safe0.95–3.822.44–5.563.39–9.38safer0.56–4.212.02–5.982.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.88 4.01–7.74 3.52–8.23 | 3.33 1.59–5.07 1.12–5.54 | 9.21 5.60–12.81 4.65–13.77 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.10 12.17–20.02 11.08–21.12 | 10.05 6.49–13.61 5.53–14.57 | 26.15 18.66–33.64 16.61–35.69 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.38 7.44–13.32 6.61–14.15 | 6.33 3.65–9.01 2.91–9.75 | 16.71 11.09–22.34 9.52–23.90 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.83–6.59 2.28–7.13 | 2.87 1.22–4.52 0.73–5.02 | 7.58 4.04–11.12 3.01–12.15 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.02–8.45 3.45–9.02 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.44–6.51 | 10.21 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.53 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 54.47 47.68–61.26 46.01–62.93 | 46.33 39.55–53.12 37.87–54.79 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 506 439–573 421–592 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 937 803–1071 768–1106 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.95 64.92–72.98 63.63–74.27 | 69.27 64.94–73.59 63.63–74.90 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.82 7.39–14.57 | 11.21 8.27–14.16 7.52–14.91 | 22.19 16.41–27.98 14.91–29.48 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.20 | 1.65 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.03 | 3.39 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.25 1.07–5.43 0.51–5.98 | 28% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 4.00 2.44–5.56 2.02–5.98 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 20% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+