Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.793.04safe0.28–2.220.94–2.651.22–4.87safer0.03–2.470.71–2.870.74–5.35
Shots on target
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.305.7510.05safe2.44–6.164.01–7.496.44–13.65safer1.95–6.653.54–7.965.49–14.61
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8515.4628.31safe8.93–16.7811.89–19.0220.82–35.79safer7.83–17.8710.93–19.9818.77–37.84
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction7.9810.3018.28safe5.04–10.937.62–12.9812.66–23.91safer4.21–11.766.88–13.7211.09–25.47
Blocked shots
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.224.047.26safe1.34–5.102.39–5.693.73–10.80safer0.80–5.651.90–6.192.69–11.83
Corners
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.845.1710.01safe2.63–7.063.17–7.175.80–14.23safer2.06–7.632.63–7.704.69–15.33
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction49.1751.74safe42.38–55.9644.95–58.52safer40.71–57.6343.28–60.20
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction455461916safe388–522394–527782–1049safer370–540377–545746–1085
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction65.6371.57safe61.60–69.6667.25–75.90safer60.31–70.9565.94–77.21
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9812.2523.23safe8.14–13.829.30–15.1917.44–29.01safer7.39–14.578.55–15.9415.94–30.51
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.793.57safe0.62–2.940.70–2.891.32–5.82safer0.31–3.240.41–3.170.73–6.41
Yellow cards
34%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.783.33safe0.50–2.600.65–2.911.15–5.51safer0.23–2.860.36–3.200.59–6.07
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.752.876.62safe2.32–5.191.31–4.433.63–9.61safer1.93–5.570.89–4.852.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.79 0.94–2.65 0.71–2.87 | 3.04 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.30 2.44–6.16 1.95–6.65 | 5.75 4.01–7.49 3.54–7.96 | 10.05 6.44–13.65 5.49–14.61 | 27% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.85 8.93–16.78 7.83–17.87 | 15.46 11.89–19.02 10.93–19.98 | 28.31 20.82–35.79 18.77–37.84 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.98 5.04–10.93 4.21–11.76 | 10.30 7.62–12.98 6.88–13.72 | 18.28 12.66–23.91 11.09–25.47 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.34–5.10 0.80–5.65 | 4.04 2.39–5.69 1.90–6.19 | 7.26 3.73–10.80 2.69–11.83 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.84 2.63–7.06 2.06–7.63 | 5.17 3.17–7.17 2.63–7.70 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.33 | 40% 48% |
| Possession % | 49.17 42.38–55.96 40.71–57.63 | 51.74 44.95–58.52 43.28–60.20 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 455 388–522 370–540 | 461 394–527 377–545 | 916 782–1049 746–1085 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.63 61.60–69.66 60.31–70.95 | 71.57 67.25–75.90 65.94–77.21 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.82 7.39–14.57 | 12.25 9.30–15.19 8.55–15.94 | 23.23 17.44–29.01 15.94–30.51 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.31–3.24 | 1.79 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.17 | 3.57 1.32–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.23–2.86 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.07 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.75 2.32–5.19 1.93–5.57 | 2.87 1.31–4.43 0.89–4.85 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.82–10.43 | 56% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.